Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Forecast, 9/24/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Forecast, 9/24/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds
  • Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
  • Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
  • Broadcast: Sportsnet
  • Betting Odds: Boston (+150) Toronto (-182)

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The Rogers Centre will host the showdown as the Toronto Blue Jays (90-66) aim to triumph over the Boston Red Sox (85-71) this Wednesday. The betting line for this matchup lists Boston at +150 while Toronto is favored at -182. With a total set at 9 runs, the starting pitchers are Garrett Crochet and Max Scherzer.

MLB predictions and betting odds for Vladimir Guerrero and the Toronto Blue Jays

The Boston Red Sox are delivering a slugging percentage of .423 and have struck out 1,364 times while earning 504 walks. This season, they have recorded 727 RBIs and made 1,365 hits, maintaining a batting average of .255. The team has achieved 309 doubles and 182 home runs. Collectively, the Red Sox have crossed the plate 765 times, yielding an on-base percentage (OBP) of .325. Averaging 4.9 runs per game, they rank 6th in the league.

This season, the Red Sox pitchers showcase a team ERA of 3.75 (5th in MLB) with 1,311 strikeouts. They have allowed 160 home runs and 660 runs (11th in the league). Their pitchers have issued 509 walks, leading to a team FIP of 4.00. Allowing 1,294 hits (8.3 per 9 innings), they’ve given up 582 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.58 and a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The bullpen has sent 517 relief pitchers onto the field this season, inheriting 210 runners, with 33.3% scoring against them. They’ve achieved 43 saves out of 71 opportunities this year but have blown 28 chances. The Red Sox bullpen holds a save percentage of 60.6% and has 82 holds (18th in MLB). Their relievers have had 186 occasions of high leverage involvement.

Defensively, the Red Sox have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs during 12,558 innings, placing them 23rd in the league. The Baltimore Orioles have recorded 4,186 putouts, 1,413 assists, and 112 errors, with a fielding percentage of .980, ranked 30th in professional baseball, including 125 double plays.

Garrett Crochet has pitched 416 innings with 543 career strikeouts. Currently, he holds a 3.01 ERA (139 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.108. He has allowed 342 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) while walking 119 batters. Crochet boasts a career record of 26-24 and a FIP of 2.96, having faced 1,699 batters in the major leagues.

The Blue Jays show a slugging percentage of .427, averaging 4.92 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have tallied 284 doubles and 768 runs, drawing 500 walks and hitting 182 home runs. They have struck out 1,054 times (29th in MLB) with 1,418 hits while maintaining an OBP of .334 and a batting average of .267 this season.

As for their pitching stats, the Blue Jays’ team WHIP is 1.273, with a FIP of 4.31. They rank 13th in total hits allowed (1,266) and have allowed 702 runs with a 4.22 ERA (649 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.90 (1,371 strikeouts to 496 walks), having given up 204 home runs and allowing an average of 4.57 runs per 9 innings, ranked 19th in MLB.

Toronto’s relievers have inherited 245 runners, with 28.6% scoring. They have participated in 154 high leverage situations, alongside 172 instances with runners on base. In 163 save situations, they’ve achieved 92 holds but have blown 23 saves to hold a save percentage of 64.1%, ranking 14th in the league. They have called upon 544 relief pitchers this season.

With 12,456 innings played, the Blue Jays showcase a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in MLB). They have turned 111 double plays, recorded a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in professional baseball), 1,219 assists, and 84 errors, totaling 4,152 putouts this season.

Max Scherzer owns a career win-loss record of 221-116, with a 3.21 ERA and allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.47 and has faced 11,962 batters. Scherzer has given up 1,055 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.082 and a FIP of 3.2. In his MLB career, he has allowed 2,423 hits while making 3,484 strikeouts across 2,958 innings.

Who will emerge victorious in this matchup—Boston against the spread or moneyline?

Recommendation: Bet on Boston (+150)

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Pick: Boston Red Sox (+150)
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