- Matchup: Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Venue: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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The Toledo Rockets (17-14) are set to clash with the Bowling Green Falcons (18-13) at Rocket Arena this Thursday during the MAC Tournament.
In their previous outing, the Bowling Green Falcons faced Eastern Michigan and secured a victory with a score of 77-69. Bowling Green recorded a field goal percentage of 39.4% (26 of 66) and drained 7 out of 19 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, the Falcons converted 18 of 26 attempts, equating to a success rate of 69.2%. They amassed a total of 37 rebounds, including 12 on the offensive end, and contributed 10 assists, forcing their opponents into 9 turnovers while also recording 6 steals. Defensively, Bowling Green allowed their opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field (26 of 59). Eastern Michigan recorded 8 assists and 5 steals, alongside a total of 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive) while failing to log any blocks. At the charity stripe, Eastern Michigan converted 14 of 19, resulting in a free-throw percentage of 73.7%, while struggling from long range making just 3 out of 16 attempts. Bowling Green committed a total of 15 personal fouls in contrast to Eastern Michigan’s 21.
Javontae Campbell was instrumental in the Falcons’ performance, finishing with 42.1% shooting from the field, gathering 7 assists over 37 minutes, and contributing 3 rebounds, amassing a total of 22 points from 8 out of 19 shooting.
Bowling Green enters this matchup with an overall record of 18-13. On average, the team turns the ball over 11.5 times per game and accumulates 17.9 fouls per contest. They are capturing 36.2 rebounds per game and have racked up 439 assists this season, ranking them 186th in Division 1 for assists. The Falcons shoot 34.6% from three-point territory (222 of 641) and achieve 73.4% at the free-throw line. Offensively, they average 81.5 points per game, placing them 60th nationally, while hitting 47.4% of their overall shots.
On the defensive end, the Falcons force 14.8 turnovers per game and commit 19.1 fouls. They are ranked 121st nationally in allowing assists, giving up 401 so far this season. The Falcons allow an opponent field goal percentage of 43.3% (754 of 1,741) and yield an average of 33.4 rebounds per game, while permitting 33.7% on three-point attempts. They rank 112th in the country in points allowed per game at 71.4.
In their last game, the Toledo Rockets enjoyed a comfortable victory, defeating Buffalo with a score of 99-78. Toledo allowed Buffalo to claim 29 rebounds (10 offensive) in that contest. The Rockets shot 40% from three-point range, hitting 10 of 25 attempts, and completed 6 of 9 free throws for a conversion rate of 66.7%. Buffalo was able to make 31 out of 58 shots from the field, amounting to a shooting percentage of 53.4%. Overall, the Rockets shot 38 of 63 from the floor, achieving a high shooting percentage of 60.3%. They also excelled from long range, converting 12 out of 24 three-point attempts (50.0%). Buffalo’s fouls totaled 10, allowing the Rockets 15 free throw attempts. Toledo turned the ball over 6 times while managing to achieve 9 steals in the game, compiling 27 total rebounds (18 defensive and 9 offensive).
Sonny Wilson was a key player for the Rockets in this matchup, shooting 10 of 14 for a rate of 71.4%, alongside gathering 4 rebounds. He tallied 24 points over 36 minutes and contributed 4 assists.
Toledo currently holds a season record of 17-14. The Rockets have demonstrated offensive prowess by shooting 48.6% from the field, ranking them 33rd nationally. They have accumulated 2,525 points this season (81.5 points per game) and secure 34.1 boards per game. They average 16.1 assists per match (59th in college basketball) with an average of just 10.1 turnovers per game. The Rockets also commit 14.9 fouls per contest and boast a free-throw percentage of 76.8%.
Defensively, Toledo permits 34.7% shooting from three-point range (263 of 759) and allows opponents to convert 69.7% of their free throws. They are averaging 14.9 assists surrendered and 34.9 rebounds allowed per game, ranking them 284th and 220th in those respective categories. On defense, the Rockets are positioned 258th nationally, allowing 76.8 points per game, while forcing 12.7 turnovers and allowing opposing teams to shoot at a 46.9% rate from the floor (320th in Division 1).
Who will prevail in tonight’s NCAA contest against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Bowling Green
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