Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira Predictions, Odds for UFC 323 on 12/06/2025

• Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira
• UFC 323
• T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
• Saturday, December 6, 2025

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On Saturday, December 6, 2025, Brandon Moreno will face off against Tatsuro Taira at UFC 323. The initial betting odds feature Moreno at +115 while Taira is positioned at -135.

Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno aims to enhance his impressive record of 23 wins, 8 losses, and 2 draws. At 31 years old, he weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5’7″ tall, with a reach of 70″. On the other hand, Tatsuro “The Best” Taira, who is 25 years old, matches Moreno’s height and weight but boasts a remarkable record of 17 wins and only 1 loss. Both fighters possess a reach of 70″. In terms of their striking statistics, Moreno lands an average of 3.96 significant strikes per minute, while Taira lands 2.87. Moreno has a striking accuracy of 44%, compared to Taira’s 60%. Defensively, Moreno takes 3.62 significant strikes per minute as Taira absorbs 2.54. Moreno successfully deflects 60% of strikes against him, while Taira defends against 47% of incoming strikes.

In wrestling scenarios, Moreno displays less grappling efficiency, achieving 1.51 takedowns every 3 rounds with a success rate of 44%. He defends against 64% of the takedowns attempted on him. Conversely, Taira successfully executes takedowns 48% of the time while defending against 45% of attempts made on him. In terms of submissions, Taira is far more active, attempting 1.7 submissions per 3 rounds compared to Moreno’s 0.4 per 15 minutes.

In his latest bout, Brandon Moreno faced off against Steve Erceg, securing a victory via unanimous decision at the end of round 5. Erceg recorded 119 of 282 strikes thrown, while Moreno completed 95 of 182 attempts. In significant strikes, Erceg connected on 116 of 279 for an accuracy of 41%, landing 90 to the head. Moreno finished with an impressive 89 out of 176 significant strikes, achieving a 50% accuracy with 59 of those targeted at the head. Notably, 99% of Erceg’s and 97% of Moreno’s significant strikes were delivered at distance.

In his recent match, Tatsuro Taira squared off against HyunSung Park and won by neck crank in the second round. Park achieved a 66% landing rate with significant strikes at distance, while Taira managed a 57% accuracy for his strikes. Taira recorded 7 of 11 significant strikes, including 6 of 10 directed at the head. Park, meanwhile, connected on 3 of 9 significant strikes, with only 1 of 6 aimed at the head finding its mark. Overall, Park’s total strikes were 15 of 21, while Taira enjoyed success with 13 of 20 total strikes.

Key Fights to Watch

Don’t miss the highly anticipated fight where Henry Cejudo will meet Payton Talbott. Cejudo, with a record of 16-5-0, steps into the octagon at 38 years old, weighing 135 lbs and standing at 5’4″ tall with a reach of 64″. Talbott, aged 27, also weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5’10” tall, aiming to build on his 10-1-0 record. Cejudo averages 1.84 takedowns per 3 rounds while Talbott manages just 0.24 submissions per 15 minutes. In their striking frequencies, Cejudo lands 3.82 strikes per minute with a 47% accuracy, while Talbott connects with 54% of his strikes at an impressive rate of 6.05 per minute.

Another unmissable matchup features Bogdan Guskov against Jan Blachowicz. Blachowicz enters the fight boasting a record of 29-11-1, standing 6’2″ tall, 205 lbs, and holding a reach of 78″. Guskov, at 6’3″ and also weighing 205 lbs, seeks to improve his record of 18-3-0. In wrestling, Blachowicz successfully defends 69% of takedown attempts while completing 48% of his own. Guskov converts only 15% of his takedown attempts and manages a 57% defense rate against opponent takedowns. Striking-wise, Blachowicz absorbs 3.03 strikes per minute and lands 3.44, while Guskov receives 3.30 strikes per minute but dishes out 4.17.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s UFC matchup?

Pick: Take Brandon Moreno (+115)