Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/14/2026 NHL Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 3/14/2026 NHL Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
  • Broadcast: WXPX-TV

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This Saturday, the Carolina Hurricanes (41-18-6) will be visiting Amalie Arena to battle it out with the Tampa Bay Lightning (40-20-4).

NHL Picks Sebastian Aho Carolina Hurricanes NHL Picks

The Hurricanes recently faced a setback, suffering a 3-1 defeat against the Blues in their previous match. In that contest, Carolina spent 2 minutes in the penalty box and struggled offensively. Despite having 2 power play opportunities, they failed to score. They only managed to net 1 goal from 32 shots aimed at the net.

In terms of even-strength play, the Hurricanes have allowed 150 goals while scoring 181. Their opponents have had 181 power play chances (ranking 22nd in the league), converting 37 of those into goals. On the offensive front, the Hurricanes have scored a total of 225 goals this season—ranking 6th in the NHL—while conceding 187. With 2,094 shots attempted, they maintain a shooting percentage of 10.7%. Currently, they have 88 points, yielding a points percentage of .677. Carolina has faced 1,568 shots on goal against them, achieving a save percentage of .881. The Hurricanes have been awarded 198 power play opportunities, successfully converting 44 of those attempts for a rate of 22.22%.

In net for Carolina will be Brandon Bussi. Bussi has played in 31 professional games, holding a record of 25-5-1 with a goals-against average of 2.39. Over his career, he has faced 721 shots, saving 647 with a save percentage of .897 over 78 minutes played. Bussi has recorded 17 quality starts, boasting a quality start percentage of .548.

Recently, the Tampa Bay Lightning wrapped up a successful outing against the Red Wings, winning 4-1. They managed to convert on their sole power play opportunity, tallying 4 goals from 28 shots directed at the net.

The Lightning’s scoring has been impressive this season, netting 181 goals at even strength and 44 goals on the power play (ranking 12th). They’ve attempted 1,809 shots (19th in the league), achieving a shooting percentage of 12.44%. On the defensive end, they’ve allowed 1,731 shots against them. Currently, Tampa Bay sits with a total of 225 goals, 84 points, and a points percentage of .656. They have conceded 176 goals, with 138 of those scored at even strength and 38 while shorthanded. The Lightning have successfully converted 22.22% of their 198 power play opportunities and hold an 81.46% penalty kill rate against 205 power play attempts, along with a save percentage of 89.8%.

On goal for the Lightning will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Averaging 2.50 goals against per game, he has allowed 1,434 goals in his career. Vasilevskiy has recorded a quality start rate of 58.5%, completing 336 quality starts in his professional journey. He has started in 574 games, accumulating 28,728 minutes in net, and boasts a career record of 361-174-38. In total, he has faced 17,249 shots, making 15,815 saves for a save percentage of .917.

Who will secure the victory in tonight’s NHL face-off against the spread or moneyline?

Recommendation: Back Carolina

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Pick: Carolina Hurricanes
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