Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors January 17, 2026 Prediction and Analysis

Home » Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors January 17, 2026 Prediction and Analysis

  • Matchup: Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors
  • Event Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
  • Broadcast: NBC Sports Bay Area

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The Charlotte Hornets (14-26) are traveling to the Chase Center this Saturday to face off against the Golden State Warriors (22-19).

NBA Predictions for LaMelo Ball and Charlotte Hornets

In their previous game, the Hornets fell short against the Clippers, losing 117-109. They recorded 17 fouls, compared to the Clippers’ 15. Charlotte successfully converted 18 out of 49 attempts from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, Los Angeles managed to score 81.0% of their free throws, netting 17 out of 21. The Clippers claimed 37 rebounds, consisting of 9 offensive and 28 defensive boards, and achieved 4 blocks. Charlotte provided 24 assists and secured 3 steals, forcing 5 turnovers. On defense, Charlotte allowed a shooting percentage of 44.6% from the field, with the Clippers hitting 41 of 92 shots. The Hornets captured a total of 49 rebounds, 10 on offense. From the charity stripe, Charlotte converted 13 out of 17 attempts for a 76.5% success rate, finishing the game with a shooting percentage of 48.9% (43 of 88) and hitting 10 out of 33 from three-point range.

LaMelo Ball had a standout performance in that game, scoring 25 points on 11 of 24 shooting. He played for 32 minutes and secured 9 rebounds, achieving a field goal percentage of 45.8% while contributing 5 assists.

The Hornets head into this matchup with a record of 14-26 for the season, averaging 116.1 points per game (17th in the NBA) and shooting 45.9% from the field. Charlotte connects on 37.0% of their three-point attempts (610 of 1,647) and boasts an 81.1% free throw percentage. As a team, they average 45.3 rebounds per game and have delivered 1,057 assists this season, ranking 13th in the league. They turn the ball over 15.6 times per game and commit an average of 19.3 fouls nightly.

On defense, the Hornets force 12.7 turnovers per game while drawing 21.0 personal fouls. They give up 37.6% shooting from three-point range and rank 18th in points allowed per game (116.7). The Hornets’ defensive statistics show that opponents shoot 48.1% from the field (1,731 of 3,601) and average 40.2 rebounds against them, ranking 24th in the league for assists surrendered (1,116 this year).

In their last outing, the Warriors triumphed over the Trail Blazers, winning 119-97. Golden State allowed Portland to secure a total of 45 rebounds (8 offensive). The Warriors shot 29.8% from three-point range, making 14 of their 47 attempts and hitting 11 of 17 free throws (64.7%). The Trail Blazers converted 36 of 83 shooting opportunities, giving them a 43.4% success rate. The Warriors completed 42 out of 89 field goals, achieving a shooting percentage of 47.2%. Golden State managed to hit 23 of their 57 three-point attempts for a 40.4% rate and went 12 for 13 at the free-throw line for 92.3%. Portland’s defense committed 16 fouls, allowing the Warriors 13 free throw opportunities. The Warriors turned the ball over 14 times while grabbing 30 defensive and 4 offensive rebounds, combining for 34 total boards.

Key player De’Anthony Melton played a pivotal role for the Warriors, scoring 23 points on 9 of 14 shooting (64.3%) while contributing 2 rebounds and 1 assist in just 18 minutes on the court.

The Warriors’ season record stands at 22-19. The team averages 20.0 personal fouls per game and maintains an 82.2% success rate at the free throw line. Their passing game averages 28.5 assists per game (8th in the league), and they also average 15.6 turnovers per match. Golden State has scored a total of 4,736 points this season (115.5 per game) and secures 43.3 rebounds on average per game. Offensively, the Warriors are shooting at 45.7%, placing them 25th in the league.

On the defensive front, the Warriors rank 8th in points allowed per game (113.2). They force an average of 15.6 turnovers and allow an opponent shooting percentage of 47.1% (18th overall). Golden State’s defense yields a three-point shooting percentage of 34.6% (501 of 1,447) and permits opponents to convert 79.2% of their free throws. They give up an average of 26.2 assists and 44.3 rebounds per game, ranking 12th and 16th in the league, respectively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NBA game against the spread?

Prediction: Select Charlotte

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Pick: Charlotte Hornets
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