Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Event Date: Thursday, September 18, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: Chicago (-145) Cincinnati (+125)
The Cincinnati Reds (75-76) are set to face the Chicago Cubs (87-64) at Great American Ball Park this Thursday. Currently, the odds favor Chicago at -145, while Cincinnati stands at +125. The projected total for the game is nine runs, with Colin Rea and Hunter Greene being the starting pitchers.
The Cubs have recorded 250 doubles and launched 203 home runs as a team this season. Their slugging percentage stands at .428, with 1,184 strikeouts and 521 walks recorded. Averaging 4.9 runs per game, they rank 8th in the league, totaling 717 RBIs and 1,281 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .250. They’ve also scored 735 runs while achieving a .321 on-base percentage.
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The Cubs maintain a team ERA of 3.81 (7th in MLB) and have struck out 1,164 batters this season. Their pitchers have allowed 184 home runs and surrendered 606 runs (5th in MLB), with 383 walks issued and a collective FIP of 4.17. They’ve given up 1,207 hits at a rate of 8.1 hits per nine innings and 568 earned runs, achieving a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.19.
Chicago’s bullpen has successfully saved 68.9% of chances, taking the mound in 170 situations. The relief unit has inherited 135 runners, with 32.6% scoring. The Cubs have utilized pitchers in high-stakes situations 153 times and deployed 492 relievers this season. Their bullpens have managed to secure 106 holds (2nd in MLB) and converted 42 out of 61 save opportunities.
With a defensive efficiency of 71.7%, the Cubs have turned 115 double plays this season. Out of their 12,060 innings played, they’ve made 4,020 putouts, assisted by 1,269 assists and 57 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .989 which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball.
Colin Rea has thrown for 592 innings in his MLB career, collecting 475 strikeouts. With a career record of 36-26, he has a FIP of 4.43 and has faced 2,521 hitters. His earned run average is at 4.50 (296 ER) with a WHIP of 1.286, conceding 581 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and 181 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .316 and a team batting average of .245 this season. They’ve struck out 1,312 times (9th in the league) and have achieved 1,248 hits. With 152 home runs and 639 RBIs, their slugging percentage is .391, averaging 4.48 runs per contest (13th in the league). They’ve also hit 237 doubles and recorded 676 runs while walking 497 times.
The Reds pitch with a team WHIP of 1.243 and a FIP of 4.19. With 1,194 hits allowed, they rank 8th in total hits given up. This season, they have surrendered 182 home runs and allow 4.41 runs per nine innings (16th in MLB), with a season ERA of 3.99 (592 earned runs allowed).
In 151 save opportunities, the Reds have earned 91 holds and experienced 22 blown saves. Their bullpen has been called upon in 57 save chances, converting 35 into successful saves. They’ve appeared in high leverage situations 158 times and faced 138 situations with runners on base. The inherited scoring rate stands at 33.5% from 206 runners, ranking them 19th in the league with a save percentage of 61.4%, having sent 514 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.
Defensively, the Cincinnati Reds have recorded 95 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in the majors). With 1,160 assists and 83 errors, they’ve made 4,005 putouts this season. Over 12,015 innings played, the Reds boast a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in pro baseball).
Hunter Greene has allowed 380 hits in his career, with 601 strikeouts over 480 innings. He holds a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.70. With a K/BB ratio of 3.41, he’s faced 2,007 hitters, recording a win-loss record of 24-29 and an ERA of 3.73, allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game, covering the spread or winning outright?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Chicago (-145)
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