Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Predictions for 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, July 11, 2025

Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Broadcast: YES Network

Betting Odds: Chicago (-210) New York (+172)

The Chicago Cubs (54-36) will face off against the New York Yankees (49-41) at Yankee Stadium on Friday. The odds favor Chicago at -210, while New York stands at +172. The total run line is set at 8.5. Scheduled starting pitchers are Chris Flexen for Chicago and Carlos Rodon for New York.

This season, the Chicago Cubs are scoring an impressive average of 5.5 runs per game, placing them 1st in the MLB. They’ve accumulated 492 runs with an on-base percentage of .328. The team has hit 158 doubles and launched 136 home runs. With 481 RBIs and 802 total hits, their batting average stands at .257. The Cubs currently have a slugging percentage of .451, boasting 700 strikeouts while drawing 315 walks.

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The Cubs have posted a 3.78 earned run average this season (13th in the league) while the pitching staff has racked up 676 strikeouts. They’ve allowed 107 home runs and 366 runs, ranking 12th in the league. With 246 walks issued, their FIP is at 4.16. Chicago has given up 745 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 338 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.23.

This season, Cubs relievers have achieved a save rate of 67.7%, entering 91 save scenarios. The bullpen has inherited 90 base runners, with 31.1% scoring a run. This year, Cubs relief pitchers have entered with runners on 66 occasions and participated in 97 high-leverage situations. A total of 301 relievers have seen action this season. They proudly hold 57 holds, ranking 10th in MLB, completing 21 saves while failing to convert on 10 of 31 save opportunities.

Chicago has turned 71.1% of balls in play into outs over their 7,242 innings, placing them 6th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have achieved 2,414 putouts this season, along with 765 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988, ranking 7th in the league, with a total of 76 double plays recorded.

Starter Flexen, holding a career record of 35-49, has a FIP of 4.68 against 2,969 batters faced in the majors. He has permitted 741 hits (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and 254 walks. With an ERA of 4.76 (359 ER allowed) and a WHIP of 1.465, Flexen has pitched 679 innings and has notched 483 strikeouts through his MLB career.

The New York Yankees have registered an on-base percentage of .337 alongside a team batting average of .255 in 2025. They’ve struck out 801 times (5th in MLB) and accumulated 782 hits. The Yankees have launched 140 home runs this season, driving in 442 runs. Their slugging percentage stands at .453 with an average of 5.13 runs per game (4th in MLB). They’ve hit 158 doubles, taken 358 walks, and accounted for 462 runs.

New York’s pitchers hold a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 3.86 for the season. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.20 (809 strikeouts to 301 walks), they lead the majors in total hits allowed, with only 666 hits surrendered. The team has yielded 95 home runs, allowing 4.16 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). This season, New York’s pitching staff has permitted 367 runs with an overall ERA of 3.84 (339 earned runs).

Entering 86 save situations, the Yankees have registered 51 holds but suffered 10 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the mound 34 times in save opportunities, successfully converting 24 saves. New York’s bullpen has faced 88 high-leverage situations along with 97 occasions with base runners. The inherited score percentage for their relief pitchers stands at 25.3% of the 150 inherited base runners. Currently, they sit 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.6%, deploying 293 relievers so far this season.

Throughout 7,152 innings, the Yankees have achieved a defensive efficiency rating of 71.3% (4th in baseball). With a total of 58 double plays, they maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). The Yankees have accounted for 763 assists, 44 errors, and 2,384 putouts this season.

In his professional career, Rodon has allowed 1,028 hits and tallied 1,333 strikeouts over 1,197 innings pitched. Holding a career record of 84-69, Rodon has maintained a 3.80 ERA while giving up 7.7 hits per nine innings. He’s conceded 506 earned runs thus far, carrying a WHIP of 1.229 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.00, having faced a total of 5,038 batters through his career.

What are your predictions for this evening’s MLB clash? Will it be a bet against the spread or the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Selection: Back Chicago (-210)

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