- Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Chicago (+220) Miami (-275)
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The Miami Marlins (3-0) are set to face off against the Chicago White Sox (0-3) at LoanDepot Park on Tuesday. The betting line favors the Marlins at -275 while the White Sox are at +220. The over/under for this game is established at 8.5 runs, with Erick Fedde and Janson Junk slated to be the starting pitchers.
As of now, the Chicago White Sox boast a slugging percentage of .423, having struck out 43 times and walked 14. They have amassed 10 RBIs and 20 hits this season, holding a batting average of .206. The team has accumulated 3 doubles and hit 6 home runs so far. With an on-base percentage of .306, the White Sox are averaging 3.3 runs per game, ranking 22nd in Major League Baseball.
The White Sox have posted a team ERA of 10.13 this season (30th in the MLB), recording 24 strikeouts as a pitching staff. They’ve allowed 4 home runs and 29 total runs (also 30th in the league), with 22 walks. Their FIP currently stands at 6.06. Chicago has given up 35 hits (approximately 13.1 hits per 9 innings) and 27 earned runs. They hold a K/BB ratio of 1.09 and a collective WHIP of 2.38.
Out of the 13 base runners that White Sox relievers have inherited, 30.8% have scored. This season, the White Sox have sent 15 different relief pitchers to the mound, and they hold a ranking of 24th in baseball for total holds with none so far.
The team’s defensive efficiency is at 58.8% from 216 innings, ranking them 30th in the MLB. The Cubs have made 72 putouts, 27 assists, and 2 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .980, placing them 23rd in Major League Baseball, with zero double plays recorded.
Erick Fedde has pitched 772 innings in his career, amassing 589 strikeouts. With a career record of 34-55, he has faced 3,361 batters and his FIP stands at 4.87. Fedde’s earned run average is 4.94 and he has a career WHIP of 1.440, having permitted 802 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and 310 walks.
On the other hand, the Miami Marlins have recorded 2 home runs and 10 RBIs this season. They’ve achieved 7 doubles, walked 8 times, and scored 10 runs. The Marlins currently have an on-base percentage of .355 and a batting average of .280, with a slugging percentage of .419. They average 3.33 runs per game, which puts them at 23rd in the league. With 19 strikeouts, they rank 26th in baseball and have accumulated 26 hits.
The Marlins’ pitching staff has allowed only 7 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 2.00 (6 earned runs allowed). They’ve yielded 2 home runs and are allowing just 2.33 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The team’s WHIP is 0.889, with a FIP of 2.55 and a K/BB ratio of 10.00 (30 strikeouts against 5 walks). They rank 6th in fewest hits allowed, with only 19.
The Marlins’ relief pitchers have stepped up in high-pressure situations 5 times and have been called upon 1 time with inherited runners. Their save percentage is perfect at 100.0%, ranking them 5th in the league, and they have utilized 8 different relievers this season.
Defensively, the Marlins have an efficiency rating of 70.8% over 243 innings of play, ranking 14th overall. They’ve recorded 1 double play, with a fielding percentage of .961, placing them 28th in MLB. With 17 assists, 4 errors, and 81 putouts this season, their defensive ledger shows some room for improvement.
Throughout his career, Janson Junk has surrendered 172 hits and tallied 111 strikeouts over 150 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 81 earned runs, boasting a WHIP of 1.307 and a FIP of 4.8. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 4.63, and he has encountered 636 opposition hitters. Junk’s career record stands at 7-7, with an earned run average of 4.86, giving up 10.3 hits per nine innings pitched.
Who do you think will prevail in this exciting MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Select Miami (-275) and under 8.5 total runs
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