Game: Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Monday, September 1, 2025
Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
TV: Twins.TV
Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+120), Minnesota (-144)
The Chicago White Sox (48-86) are gearing up to face off against the Minnesota Twins (60-73) at Target Field this coming Monday. The current moneyline shows the White Sox at +120 and the Twins at -144, with the total set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Aaron Civale and Bailey Ober.
Offensively, the Chicago White Sox are averaging 3.9 runs per game, placing them 26th overall in the league. With a total of 528 runs, they maintain a team on-base percentage of .302. As of now, the White Sox have hit 200 doubles and launched 134 home runs, gathering 509 RBIs and 1,035 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .233. They boast a slugging percentage of .373, having struck out 1,106 times while drawing 421 walks.
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The White Sox currently possess a team ERA of 4.23 (ranked 20th), having notched up 1,021 strikeouts. They have yielded 149 home runs and 611 runs (20th overall). With 487 walks issued, their FIP stands at 4.46 for the season. Chicago has allowed 1,112 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 549 earned runs, maintaining a K/BB ratio of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.37.
This season, the White Sox bullpen has entered games with runners on base 129 times, alongside 115 high-leverage appearances. Collectively, they have secured 54 holds (28th in MLB) and recorded a 45.9% save rate, with 17 saves in 37 opportunities. The bullpen has allowed 32.5% of inherited runners to score, totaling 191 inherited base runners this season.
Defensively, the White Sox convert 69.7% of balls in play into outs over 10,443 innings, ranking 18th in Major League Baseball. The team’s fielders have registered 3,481 putouts, 1,079 assists, and 82 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982, placing them 27th in the league, along with 106 double plays.
Aaron Civale has thrown 725 innings in his MLB career, recording 651 strikeouts. With a lifetime record of 42-44, he has a FIP of 4.12, having faced 3,022 batters. His ERA is 4.18 with 337 earned runs allowed, and he holds a WHIP of 1.222. Civale has given up 683 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and issued 203 walks.
The Minnesota Twins, on the other hand, have a slugging percentage of .398 and average 4.18 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have hit 204 doubles and drawn 403 walks, accumulating 556 runs. The Twins have launched 159 home runs while tallying 530 RBIs and striking out 1,105 times (16th in the league) with 1,058 hits. Their on-base percentage stands at .310 with a team batting average of .238 this season.
On the mound, the Minnesota pitching staff has allowed 618 runs, with an ERA of 4.44 (577 earned runs). They’ve permitted 159 home runs and give up 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). Their team WHIP is 1.307 along with a FIP of 4.07, boasting a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,113 strikeouts versus 368 walks). They rank 24th in total hits allowed with 1,161.
The Twins’ relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.7% from 143 inherited runners. This season, the bullpen has made 155 appearances in high leverage situations and 100 times with runners on base. The Twins have earned 81 holds and suffered 19 blown saves, ranking 25th with a 56.8% save rate while utilizing a total of 454 relief pitchers.
With a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in the majors), the Minnesota Twins have turned 80 double plays, totaling 991 assists and committing 61 errors with 3,510 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 68.6% over 10,530 innings played (27th in baseball).
Throughout his career, Bailey Ober has allowed 536 hits, achieving 580 strikeouts over 590 innings pitched. He has given up 265 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.124 and a FIP of 4.0. Ober has faced 2,406 hitters, maintaining a K/BB ratio of 4.57 and a career record of 29-28 with an ERA of 4.04, allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Pick: Back Chicago (+120)
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