Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: Twins.TV
Betting Odds: Chicago (+150) Minnesota (-182)
This Thursday, the Minnesota Twins (62-76) will face off against the Chicago White Sox (51-88) at Target Field. The moneyline for this matchup features Chicago at +150 and Minnesota at -182, with an over/under of 9. The anticipated starting pitchers are Shane Smith and Taj Bradley.
The White Sox have collectively hit 211 doubles and launched 142 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .376, they have struck out 1,155 times while drawing 436 walks. As a team, the Chicago White Sox average 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 26th in the MLB. This season, they have recorded 535 RBIs and 1,085 hits, holding a team batting average of .234 and scoring 554 runs with an on-base percentage of .304.
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The White Sox boast a K/BB ratio of 2.08, with a team WHIP of 1.37. Their pitchers have allowed 155 home runs and a total of 636 runs (21st in MLB). The team has surrendered 1,146 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and 570 earned runs, holding an ERA of 4.22 (19th in the league) while striking out 1,072 batters. They have issued 515 walks, with a FIP of 4.47 for the season.
Chicago’s bullpen has faced 136 runners and has participated in 125 high-leverage situations. Relief pitchers have recorded 56 holds this season (28th in MLB) and have a 47.5% save percentage, converting 19 out of 40 save opportunities. They’ve inherited 199 runners, with a scoring rate of 32.7%. A total of 445 relief pitchers have taken the mound this season.
With an out percentage of 69.7% on balls put into play, the White Sox rank 18th in the MLB across 10,947 innings. They have tallied 3,649 putouts, 1,112 assists, and 90 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .981, ranking 28th in baseball, and have executed 112 double plays.
Shane Smith has pitched 120 innings, amassing 112 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. With a record of 4-7, he holds a FIP of 3.76, having faced 510 batters. His earned run average stands at 3.82 (51 earned runs allowed) with a career WHIP of 1.207, allowing 95 hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 50 walks.
The Minnesota Twins have a slugging percentage of .397, averaging 4.21 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have 211 doubles and have been awarded 423 walks while scoring 581 runs, hitting 163 home runs this year and recording 553 RBIs. They have struck out 1,142 times (16th in MLB) and registered 1,098 hits, holding a team OBP of .311 and a batting average of .238.
With a team WHIP of 1.322 and a FIP of 4.13 this season, the Twins also have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.60 (1,157 strikeouts to 389 walks). They rank 24th in MLB for total hits allowed, having given up 1,217 hits and 168 home runs while surrendering 4.84 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 654 runs this season, with a team ERA of 4.51 (609 earned runs conceded).
Twins relievers have stepped onto the mound in 47 save opportunities, recording 26 saves, placing them 26th in MLB with a save percentage of 55.3%. They’ve utilized 469 relievers, with 157 appearances under high-pressure situations and 102 times with runners on base. Their inherited runner scoring percentage is 37.0% from 146 inherited base runners. In total, they have earned 82 holds alongside 21 blown saves across 131 save situations.
From 10,935 innings played, the Twins maintain a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (27th in the majors). They have completed 85 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in professional baseball), recording 1,031 assists, 68 errors, and 3,645 putouts this season.
In his MLB career, Taj Bradley has allowed 337 hits while striking out 385 batters across 363 innings. He has surrendered 193 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.296 and a FIP of 4.70. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.87, having faced 1,552 batters during his career. Bradley holds a career record of 19-26 with an ERA of 4.78, allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings.
Which team will emerge victorious tonight in this MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Minnesota (-182)
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