- Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Broadcast: NBC
- Betting Odds: Dolphins (+4.5)
- Total Points: 47.5
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This Sunday, the Miami Dolphins (6-8) will face the Cincinnati Bengals (4-10) at Hard Rock Stadium. The Bengals are entering this game as 4.5-point favorites according to the latest betting lines, with an over/under set at 47.5 points.
The Cincinnati Bengals have struggled this season, holding a 4-10 record. In their most recent outing, they were defeated by the Baltimore Ravens with a score of 24-0. Quarterback Joe Burrow completed 25 of 39 passes for 225 yards, achieving a quarterback rating of 58.2 and throwing two interceptions. Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase was a notable performer, recording 10 receptions for 132 yards, averaging 13.2 yards per catch. The Bengals’ leading rusher, Chase Brown, accumulated 53 yards on 13 carries (4.1 yards per attempt). Overall, the team executed 68 plays for a total of 298 yards, while their rushing game accounted for 100 yards on 29 attempts, averaging 3.4 yards per carry. On defense, the Bengals allowed 189 rushing yards on 24 carries, yielding an average of 7.9 yards per run. They also permitted 8 completions on 12 attempts for 128 yards, with a completion percentage of 66.7%.
This season, the Bengals have amassed a total of 4,396 yards. They have achieved 164 first downs but have also been hindered by 75 penalties costing them 545 yards. In terms of touchdowns, Cincinnati has scored 27 through the air and 6 on the ground. However, they have given up the ball 22 times, with 16 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. The team averages 87.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 31st in the league, and they score an average of 22.4 points per game.
On the defensive side, the Bengals are ranked 32nd, allowing an average of 31.2 points per game. Opponents average 5.3 yards per carry, collectively rushing for 157.9 yards per game. In terms of passing defense, Cincinnati ranks 28th, surrendering 3,442 passing yards this season. They allow an average of 245.9 passing yards per game with a completion rate of 66.5%. Overall, Cincinnati’s defense gives up 403.8 total yards per game, allowing 31 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns, amounting to a total of 2,211 rushing yards over the season.
The Miami Dolphins enter this contest with a record of 6-8. In their latest game, they suffered a loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers, ending 28-15. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa threw for two touchdowns and 253 yards, completing 22 of 28 attempts for a quarterback rating of 113.2. He also intercepted once, averaging 9.0 yards per attempt. Wide receiver Darren Waller led the Dolphins with 7 receptions, totaling 66 yards (9.4 yards per catch). Running back De’Von Achane contributed with 60 yards on 12 carries, averaging 5.0 yards each. Miami totaled 285 yards on 44 plays, averaging 6.5 yards per play. The ground game saw them gain 63 yards on 16 attempts, with an average of 3.9 yards per carry. The Dolphins’ defense allowed 135 rushing yards on 32 carries (4.2 yards per rush), and their secondary conceded a completion rate of 85.2%, giving up 201 yards on 23 of 27 passes.
On average, the Miami Dolphins generate 303.2 yards per game, ranking 25th in the league. They rush for an average of 121.9 yards per outing, totaling 1,707 yards this season. Though they have thrown 15 interceptions and lost 4 fumbles, the Dolphins have secured 147 first downs. This season, they have incurred 81 penalties resulting in 662 yards, placing them 27th in the league for penalties. Their passing game has yielded 2,538 yards at an average of 181.3 yards per game, ranking 26th overall. In terms of scoring, the Dolphins rank 23rd, averaging 21.1 points per game.
Miami’s defense has allowed 22 passing touchdowns and concedes 202.5 passing yards per game, which ranks them 13th in the league. They have given up 1,850 rushing yards (132.1 per game) and allowed 12 rushing touchdowns this season. Overall, the Dolphins’ defense has secured 17 takeaways (10 forced fumbles and 7 interceptions) throughout the campaign, allowing a total of 324 points. With 843 defensive plays run, Miami ranks 10th in the league, allowing an average of 23.1 points per game, positioning them in the middle tier defensively.
Who will cover the spread in this Bengals vs. Dolphins match-up?
Prediction: Bengals to cover -4.5
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