Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Forecast, 8/6/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Forecast, 8/6/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Venue: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

Broadcast: Marquee

Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+110) Chicago (-130)

On Wednesday, the Chicago Cubs (65-47) will face off against the Cincinnati Reds (59-54) at Wrigley Field. The moneyline for this matchup has the Reds at +110 and the Cubs at -130, with the over/under set at 9 runs. Pitchers Andrew Abbott and Cade Horton are slated to start.

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The Cincinnati Reds have a slugging percentage of .392, striking out 969 times while drawing 380 walks. With 484 runs batted in and a total of 934 hits this season, their batting average stands at .247. The team has hit 175 doubles and 116 home runs, contributing to a total of 515 runs and an on-base percentage of .320. As a result, the Reds average 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in the league.

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The Reds maintain a season ERA of 3.87, ranking 13th in the league, with a total of 940 strikeouts. They have allowed 125 home runs along with 472 runs overall, placing them 14th in the majors. With a walk total of 355 and a FIP of 4.06, the staff has given up 882 hits (averaging 7.9 per 9 innings) and 430 earned runs. The K/BB ratio stands at 2.65, with a WHIP of 1.24 recorded.

This season, Reds pitchers have faced players on base 95 times and appeared under high leverage conditions 105 times. The bullpen has achieved 72 holds (9th in the league) and a 66.7% save rate after appearing in 116 save moments. They have secured 28 saves from 42 attempts, while inheriting 151 base runners, with 34.4% allowing an earned run this season. A total of 386 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Reds so far.

Defensively, the Reds have turned 71.1% of balls put in play into outs across 8,997 innings, positioning them 7th in professional baseball. The Chicago White Sox have recorded 2,999 putouts this season, compiling 848 assists and 58 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985, ranked 19th in the majors, along with 68 double plays.

Andrew Abbott has pitched 355 innings and logged 330 strikeouts in his professional career. With a career record of 26-17, he has a FIP of 3.24 and has faced 1,487 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.29 (130 runs allowed), along with a career WHIP of 1.250 and 315 hits allowed (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 129 walks.

The Chicago Cubs possess an on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .254 this season. They’ve struck out 875 times (26th in MLB) and recorded 977 hits. The Cubs have hit 160 home runs for the year and have notched 566 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .439, averaging 5.19 runs per game (1st in the league). Furthermore, they have 193 doubles and have drawn 380 walks contributing to 581 runs.

On the mound, the Cubs have allowed 467 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 3.91 (433 earned runs). With 143 home runs given up, they allow 4.22 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Cubs’ WHIP stands at 1.224 and they have a FIP of 4.28 collectively this season. The strikeout to walk ratio is 7.60 (842 strikeouts compared to 295 walks), ranking them 17th in total hits allowed with 924.

Cubs relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% among their 108 inherited base runners. They have had 110 high leverage appearances, including 77 with runners on base. Out of 115 save opportunities, the Cubs have tallied 73 holds along with 13 blown saves. Their save rate is 66.7% (6th in the league), with a total of 372 relief pitchers used throughout the season. The bullpen has successfully saved 26 out of 39 save opportunities.

With a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in MLB), the Cubs have managed to execute 89 double plays, compiling 941 assists, 47 errors, and achieving 2,990 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency sits at 71.3% over their 8,970 innings played (4th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Cade Horton has permitted 70 hits while collecting 53 strikeouts across 73 innings of work. He has allowed 28 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.12 as he has faced 307 batters so far, accruing a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 3.44 (allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings).

Who will emerge victorious in today’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Cincinnati (+110)

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