- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025
- Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+220) Los Angeles (-275)
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The Cincinnati Reds (83-79) are gearing up to face the Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69) on Tuesday in Game 1 of the NLWC, hosted at Dodger Stadium. The current moneyline favors the Reds at +170 while the Dodgers commence at -185, with a total set at 7 runs. Starting for the Reds will be Hunter Greene, opposed by Blake Snell from the Dodgers.
This season, the Reds have racked up 250 doubles and smashed 167 home runs, boasting a slugging percentage of .391. With 1,415 strikeouts and 527 walks, the team averages 4.4 runs per game, placing them 14th in the MLB. They’ve accumulated 677 RBIs alongside 1,333 hits, and their batting average stands at .245. Cincinnati has scored a total of 716 runs and holds an on-base percentage of .315.
The Reds maintain a K/BB ratio of 2.79 while their pitching staff has achieved a WHIP of 1.22. They’ve allowed 190 home runs and a total of 681 runs this season (11th in the league). Their earned run average (ERA) is 3.86 (ranking 11th in baseball), with 1,380 strikeouts and 494 walks issued. The team’s FIP currently sits at 4.11.
The Reds’ relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 148 times and have faced 172 high-leverage situations, notching 104 holds this season (6th in the league). The bullpen has a 65.1% save percentage from 170 save opportunities, securing 41 saves while blowing 22 chances. They’ve inherited 217 runners, with a 31.8% rate allowing earned runs. In total, Reds relievers have been called upon 550 times this year.
Defensively, the Reds convert 71.1% of balls in play into outs over 12,915 innings, placing them 4th in professional baseball. As of now, they’ve made 4,305 putouts, recorded 1,239 assists, and committed 87 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 21st overall, along with 101 double plays turned.
Hunter Greene has pitched 495 innings with 617 strikeouts during his career. With a record of 25-29, his FIP is 3.60, facing 2,060 batters. He holds an ERA of 3.65 (allowing 201 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.141, having conceded 386 hits (7.0 per nine innings) and issued 179 walks.
The Dodgers boast a slugging percentage of .441 and average 5.09 runs per game, placing them 2nd in the league. They’ve notched 257 doubles, executed 580 walks, and scored a remarkable 825 runs. On the power side, Los Angeles has hit 244 home runs and accumulated 791 RBIs, with 1,384 hits at a .253 batting average and an on-base percentage of .327. They’ve struck out 1,353 times (16th in MLB).
On the mound, the Dodgers have surrendered 683 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.95 (633 earned runs allowed) and 175 home runs. They yield 4.27 runs per nine innings (11th in MLB), with a WHIP of 1.258, and a FIP of 3.93. Their K/BB ratio is 9.40 (1,505 strikeouts to 563 walks), and they rank 5th in total hits allowed with 1,250.
This season, the Dodgers have faced 206 save situations, achieving 128 holds alongside 27 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have been called on in 73 save chances, converting 46 of those. The bullpen has appeared in 186 high-leverage situations, with 149 instances of having runners on base, and a 26.1% inheritance scoring rate from 230 inherited runners. They are 18th in save rate at 63.0%, having deployed 581 bullpen pitchers.
With a defensive efficiency of 70.4% over 12,969 innings, the Dodgers rank 11th in professional baseball. They have turned 102 double plays with a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 6th overall, while accruing 1,346 assists and 68 errors, reaching a total of 4,323 putouts this season.
In his MLB career, Blake Snell has allowed 891 hits while achieving 1,440 strikeouts in 1,157 innings pitched. With a career record of 81-62, Snell holds a 3.15 ERA and concedes 6.9 hits per nine innings, with a WHIP of 1.220 and a FIP of 3.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.76, encountering 4,791 opposing batters to date.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash, covering the spread or taking the moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Los Angeles (-275) and the under 9 runs
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