Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh
Betting Odds: Cincinnati (-144) Pittsburgh (+120)
The Cincinnati Reds (60-56) are heading to PNC Park this Sunday, aiming to secure a victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates (50-66). The betting lines favor Cincinnati at -144, while the Pirates are positioned at +120. The total runs expected for the game are set at 8. The starting pitchers are Zack Littell for the Reds and Mike Burrows for the Pirates.
This season, the Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them 12th in Major League Baseball. With a total of 521 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .318, they have hit 181 doubles and launched 117 home runs. They have accumulated 490 RBIs and 956 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .246. Cincinnati is slugging .390, has struck out 1,000 times, and has drawn 381 walks this season.
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The Reds have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have permitted 131 home runs and 486 runs (ranking 14th in MLB). They’ve allowed 907 hits (averaging 8.0 hits per 9 innings) and given up 443 earned runs. Currently, Cincinnati’s team earned run average is 3.89 (16th in the league), having struck out 959 batters. Their pitchers have walked 368 opponents and their FIP for the season stands at 4.11.
Cincinnati’s relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 99 times, and they have had 105 high-leverage appearances. The relief corps has registered 72 holds this season (9th in MLB). Their save percentage is 66.7%, having encountered 116 save situations, converting 28 of them while failing in 14 out of their 42 opportunities. So far, Reds relievers have inherited 156 base runners, with 34.0% of them scoring. A total of 395 relief pitchers have been utilized by Cincinnati this year.
This season, the Reds have made 3,074 putouts, 874 assists, and 60 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in the league) and successfully turning 68 double plays. They have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs across 9,222 innings, ranking 5th in the league.
Littell has pitched for 556 innings, boasting 463 career strikeouts. With a career record of 33-29, he has a FIP of 3.75, having faced 2,318 batters. His career ERA stands at 3.80 (235 earned runs allowed) and has a WHIP of 1.223. He has allowed 554 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and has issued 126 walks.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have recorded 83 home runs this season along with 402 RBIs. They have 159 doubles, have walked 370 times, and scored 414 runs. The Pirates’ on-base percentage is .304 with a batting average of .233 this season. Their slugging percentage is .347, averaging 3.57 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have struck out 1,010 times (6th in the league) and accumulated a total of 898 hits.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff maintains a team WHIP of 1.214 and a FIP of 3.91 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio currently sits at 7.80 (890 strikeouts to 334 walks). The Pirates rank 8th in MLB for total hits allowed, giving up 912 hits and 112 home runs, with a rate of 4.09 runs allowed per 9 innings (7th in MLB). They have surrendered 466 runs this year, with an ERA of 3.85 (439 earned runs).
Pittsburgh’s relief pitchers have an inherited scoring rate of 33.3% on 162 inherited base runners. The bullpen has made 114 high-leverage appearances and 105 entries with runners on base. The Pirates have faced 99 save situations, securing 54 holds but suffering from 19 blown saves. They are 25th in MLB for save percentage at 55.8%, and have utilized 357 relief pitchers this season, achieving 24 saves from 43 save chances.
The Pirates have executed 85 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). They’ve recorded 966 assists, 52 errors, and 3,078 putouts to date. The defensive efficiency for Pittsburgh stands at 71.3% over their 9,234 innings, ranking 4th in professional baseball.
In his MLB career, Burrows has allowed 59 hits and gained 65 strikeouts over 65 innings. With a record of 2-4, he has an earned run average of 4.41, allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 32 earned runs, accumulating a WHIP of 1.317 and a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.41, competing against 281 batters throughout his MLB career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Choose Pittsburgh (+120)
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