Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Tuesday, September 9, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+150) San Diego (-182)
The San Diego Padres (78-65) are set to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (72-71) at Petco Park this Tuesday. The betting line favors the Reds at +150, while the Padres are positioned at -182. The total runs for this match are projected at 9. Starting on the mound are Zack Littell and Michael King.

The Cincinnati Reds feature a slugging percentage of .392, accompanied by 1,243 strikeouts and 470 walks this season. They have driven in 611 runs with a total of 1,192 hits and maintain an average batting line of .248. The team has recorded 232 doubles and hit 141 home runs, accumulating 647 runs while achieving a .318 on-base percentage. Currently, the Reds average 4.5 runs per game, placing them 13th in the league.
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The Reds’ pitching staff carries a team ERA of 3.94 (16th in MLB), having struck out 1,217 opponents. They have allowed 170 home runs, conceding a total of 617 runs (15th in MLB). The staff has walked 449 batters, with a team FIP of 4.16 this season. Cincinnati pitchers have permitted 1,133 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and registered a K/BB ratio of 2.71, coupled with a WHIP of 1.25.
Cincinnati has utilized 489 relievers this season. The bullpen has inherited 191 runners, with 32.5% scoring. They have totaled 33 saves, missing out on 20 of 53 save chances, resulting in a 62.3% save rate. The Reds have also contributed 90 holds (7th in MLB) and faced players on base 128 times in crucial situations.
Defensively, the Reds have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs, ranking 7th in MLB. The team holds a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in the league) with 92 double plays enacted and 3,800 putouts, alongside 1,082 assists and 82 errors.
Zack Littell has pitched for 581 innings in his career, recording 482 strikeouts. With a career record of 33-29, Littell shows a FIP of 3.83 after facing 2,431 batters in the majors. He holds a 3.89 ERA (allowing 251 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.230, yielding 584 hits at a rate of 9.0 hits per nine innings, along with 131 walks.
The San Diego Padres, on the other hand, have a slugging percentage of .388, scoring an average of 4.27 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have recorded 234 doubles, accepted 461 free passes, and scored 610 runs this season. San Diego has belted 127 home runs, gathering 573 RBIs, and has struck out 1,015 times (28th in MLB), achieving a .253 team batting average and a .323 on-base percentage.
The Padres pitching unit features a combined WHIP of 1.216, with a team FIP of 4.02 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.80 (1,232 strikeouts against 474 walks). They rank first in the league for the lowest number of hits allowed, totaling 1,061. Additionally, the staff has given up 152 home runs and 3.97 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB), adding up to a team ERA of 3.67 (514 earned runs allowed).
San Diego’s relievers have permitted 29.0% of inherited runners to score, over 231 runners, while observing 186 high leverage appearances and 162 outings with runners on base. Their relief squad has participated in 155 save opportunities, with 91 holds and 15 blown saves, boasting a top league save rate of 74.6%. A total of 504 relievers have taken the mound this season, securing 44 saves from 59 save chances.
The Padres have showcased a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (2nd in MLB) over 11,358 innings, recording 105 double plays and a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in MLB). They have accrued 1,081 assists, 66 errors, and achieved 3,786 putouts this season.
Michael King, with a career record of 30-28, has allowed 400 hits while amassing 548 strikeouts across 478 innings pitched. He owns a solid 3.16 ERA with a rate of 7.5 hits per nine innings and has allowed 168 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.181. King’s FIP stands at 3.1 with a 3.32 strikeout-to-walk ratio, having faced 1,997 batters so far in his career.
Who will clinch victory tonight in this thrilling MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Take Cincinnati (+150)
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