Citadel Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets Preview, 1/17/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Citadel Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets Preview, 1/17/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: Citadel Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Venue: Cameron Hall, Lexington, VA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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This Saturday, the VMI Keydets (6-11) will welcome the Citadel Bulldogs (4-13) to Cameron Hall for an exciting match-up.

college basketball picks TJ Johnson VMI Keydets predictions best bet odds

In their last outing, the Citadel Bulldogs faced off against Western Carolina, triumphing with a narrow margin of 79-77. In terms of fouls, the Bulldogs committed 14 while Western Carolina had 22. Citadel managed to sink 9 out of 30 attempts from beyond the arc. Western Carolina converted 10 of 16 free throws, finishing at 62.5%. On the boards, Western Carolina pulled down 30 rebounds (11 offensive, 19 defensive) but did not record any blocks. The game saw them tally 12 assists and 8 steals. Defensively, Citadel allowed their opponent to shoot 42.6% from the field, letting Western Carolina complete 29 of 68 shots. Citadel amassed 38 rebounds, with 11 being offensive. At the charity stripe, they shot 23 from 28 for an impressive 82.1%. Overall, the Bulldogs wrapped up the game with a field goal percentage of 41.4% (24 out of 58) while making 8 of 28 attempts from three-point territory.

Carter Kingsbury emerged as a key player, contributing 22 points on 7 of 12 shooting. Logging 36 minutes, he also totaled 6 rebounds and notched 2 assists, achieving a shooting percentage of 58.3% from the field.

Currently, Citadel carries a record of 4-13 this season. On average, they turn the ball over 11.2 times and commit 16.2 fouls per game. The Bulldogs are averaging 33.7 rebounds per contest and have dished out 211 assists for the season, placing them 316th nationally. With a 32.5% shooting rate from three-point range (160 out of 492), they also maintain a free throw percentage of 68.5%. They score an average of 70.1 points per game, ranking 311th in the nation, while shooting 42.6% overall.

On defense, the Bulldogs are forcing an average of 9.5 turnovers per game while being whistled for 14.9 fouls. They allow opposing teams to shoot 37.2% from beyond the arc and rank 305th in D-1 for points allowed per game (78.4). Citadel’s defense permits an overall field goal percentage of 48.4% (473 of 978) and gives up 34.7 rebounds per game, ranking 232nd in allowing assists with 244 surrendered throughout the season.

In their previous match, the VMI Keydets suffered a defeat against Furman, ending in a score of 69-48. VMI allowed Furman to secure 43 rebounds (15 offensive). The Keydets managed a three-point shooting percentage of 33.3%, hitting 11 of 33 attempts, and they shot 10 of 18 from the free throw line (55.6%). Furman managed 24 of 56 field goal attempts for a shooting percentage of 42.9%. On their end, the Keydets shot 15 for 56, giving them 26.8% overall. From three-point range, they made 9 out of 31 attempts (29.0%), while sinking 9 free throws with a percentage of 69.2%. Furman committed 15 fouls, leading to 13 opportunities at the charity stripe for the Keydets. They turned the ball over 12 times while securing 16 steals. VMI accumulated a total of 27 rebounds split between 16 defensive and 11 offensive.

TJ Johnson played a significant role for the Keydets in this contest, scoring 15 points in 38 minutes on the floor, also recording 2 assists and 4 rebounds, with a shooting percentage of 33.3% (4 of 12).

This season, VMI holds a record of 6-11. They commit an average of 16.9 fouls per game and convert 72.0% of their free throw attempts. The Keydets average 12.8 assists per game (ranked 284th nationally) while turning the ball over 10.8 times each game. For the campaign, they have scored 1,267 points (74.5 per game) and grab 36.7 rebounds per contest. Offensively, VMI records a 40.1% shooting percentage from the floor, ranking them 351st in the nation.

On the defensive end, the Keydets rank 247th in D-1 for points allowed, giving up 75.9 per game. They average 12.8 forced turnovers each night and have allowed opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field (207th in D-1). The VMI defense also allows a 33.9% success rate from three (146 of 431) and teams are shooting 70.1% from the free throw line against them. They allow 17.1 assists and 40.1 rebounds per game, ranking 349th and 356th in Division 1, respectively.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s NCAA competition against the spread?

Prediction: Take VMI

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Pick: VMI Keydets
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