Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+162), Boston (-196)
On Wednesday, the iconic Fenway Park plays host to a thrilling matchup as the Boston Red Sox (77-62) face off against the Cleveland Guardians (68-68). The betting odds place Cleveland at +162 while Boston is favored at -196. The total for the game is set at 9 runs, with Logan Allen and Kyle Harrison expected to take the mound.

The Guardians have recorded a total of 194 doubles this season, along with 138 home runs. Cleveland’s slugging percentage stands at .366, with 1,123 strikeouts and 416 walks. As a collective, the Guardians are averaging 3.9 runs per game, positioning them at 28th in MLB. They’ve accumulated 504 RBIs and 990 hits thus far, posting a batting average of .223, with a total of 523 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .294.
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The Guardians’ pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94 this season (ranked 16th in the league), and they have struck out 1,128 batters. This year, Guardians pitchers have allowed 150 home runs and 580 runs (12th in the league). They have issued 475 walks, with a collective FIP of 4.17. Cleveland has allowed 1,115 base hits (averaging 8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has surrendered 529 earned runs. The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.37, with a WHIP of 1.32.
Cleveland’s relief pitchers have achieved a save percentage of 68.4%, participating in 152 save situations. They have inherited 177 runners this season, with 33.3% of those scoring. Guardians relievers have entered games with runners on base 125 times and have had 156 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has utilized 451 relievers this year and has recorded 92 holds (3rd in the league). They have also accumulated 39 saves, with 18 blown saves out of 57 opportunities.
Defensively, the Guardians have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs across 10,881 innings, ranking 19th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have tallied 3,627 putouts, 1,114 assists, and 86 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982, which ranks them 27th in baseball, along with 102 double plays completed.
Logan Allen has pitched 356 innings in his professional career, achieving 303 strikeouts. His earned run average sits at 4.57, with 181 earned runs allowed, and a career WHIP of 1.465. Allen has allowed 376 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and issued 146 walks, holding a win-loss record of 22-23 and a FIP of 4.50 after facing 1,552 batters.
The Boston Red Sox have hit 167 home runs this year with 652 RBIs. They have achieved 276 doubles and have drawn 454 walks, scoring a total of 684 runs. Boston holds an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .253. Their team slugging percentage is .425, and they score an impressive 4.92 runs per game (6th in the league). They have 1,224 strikeouts (5th in baseball) along with 1,206 total hits.
The Red Sox pitching staff maintains a team WHIP of 1.287 and a FIP of 4.01 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.30 (1,154 strikeouts versus 459 walks). They rank 18th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 1,143, and have given up 140 home runs while allowing 4.19 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff has permitted 580 runs this year, with an ERA of 3.69 (510 earned runs allowed).
In 142 save situations, the Red Sox have made 76 holds and have recorded 24 blown saves. Their bullpen has entered 64 save opportunities, successfully recording 40 saves. Boston relievers have appeared in 167 high-leverage situations and have encountered base runners 137 times. They hold an inherited scoring percentage of 32.1% for 184 inherited runners, sitting 16th in baseball with a 62.5% save percentage, having employed 455 relief pitchers this season.
The Boston Red Sox have completed 113 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in MLB). They have amassed 1,272 assists, committed 103 errors, and achieved 3,735 putouts this season. With 11,205 innings played, the team’s defensive efficiency stands at 69.2% (21st in baseball).
Harrison has allowed 175 base hits in his professional career while racking up 178 strikeouts over 182 innings. With a career record of 9-9, he possesses a 4.50 ERA, allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and permitting 91 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.301, with a FIP of 4.40 and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.87 after facing 779 batters.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Boston (-196)
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