Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
Event Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network
Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-182) Chicago (+150)
On Saturday, the Chicago White Sox (42-72) will host the Cleveland Guardians (59-55) at Rate Field. The current moneyline features Cleveland at -182, while Chicago stands at +150. The total runs line is set at 8, with Joey Cantillo and Sean Burke expected to be on the mound for their respective teams.
The Guardians have recorded 169 doubles and hit 120 home runs as a team this season. With a slugging percentage of .376, Cleveland has struck out 931 times while managing to walk 361 times. They average 4.0 runs per game, ranking 26th in Major League Baseball, with a total of 433 RBIs and 855 hits, resulting in a batting average of .228. Their on-base percentage (OBP) currently sits at .300 with 450 runs scored.
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Cleveland boasts a team ERA of 3.83, placing them 11th in MLB, and they have tallied 965 strikeouts so far. The pitching staff has given up 122 homers and a total of 473 runs (also ranked 11th). Additionally, they’ve issued 400 walks, and their FIP is 4.06. The Guardians have allowed 914 hits (averaging 8.1 per 9 innings) and 432 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.29.
The Guardians’ bullpen has faced runners on base 97 times and has 133 high-leverage appearances. With 80 holds this season (ranking 2nd), they have a save percentage of 68.0% across 133 save situations, achieving 34 saves while blowing 16 of their 50 opportunities. Of the 135 inherited runners, 36.3% have scored against them. A total of 379 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Guardians this year.
Cleveland has made 3,047 putouts, along with 941 assists, and 74 errors this season. Their current fielding percentage is .982, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball, with 86 double plays completed. The Guardians have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs over 9,141 innings, ranking 15th overall.
Joey Cantillo has pitched 93 innings, recording 116 strikeouts during his professional career. His career ERA is 4.63, with 48 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.392. Cantillo has allowed 85 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 45 walks, with a 4-6 win-loss record, holding a FIP of 4.56 against 407 batters faced in the majors.
On the other hand, the Chicago White Sox have hit 110 home runs this year, coupled with 421 RBIs. They have 178 doubles, drawn 360 walks, and scored a total of 437 runs. Their team OBP is .300, and they hold a season batting average of .229. On the slugging front, the White Sox sit at .369, averaging 3.83 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have accumulated 955 strikeouts (ranked 16th) and 861 hits throughout the season.
The White Sox currently sport a team WHIP of 1.370 and a FIP of 4.46. They have a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (849 strikeouts to 420 walks) and rank 17th in MLB for total hits allowed with 940. They have permitted 123 home runs and allow 4.60 runs every 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff has given up 507 runs this season, with a team ERA of 4.15 (458 earned runs).
Chicago’s bullpen has appeared in 32 save opportunities, securing 15 saves and holding a save rate of 46.9%, which ranks 30th in MLB. They have utilized 358 relievers this year. Chicago’s relievers have participated in 100 high-leverage situations and 105 with runners on base, allowing 29.0% of inherited runners to score from 155 chances. Out of 80 save opportunities, they also have 48 holds and 17 blown saves reported.
The White Sox have pulled off 96 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in MLB), with 940 assists, 70 errors, and a total of 2,979 putouts recorded this season. Closing out 8,937 innings, Chicago boasts a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (ranked 16th overall).
Sean Burke, with a 6-8 career record, has an earned run average of 3.83, allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.14, facing 563 opposing batters in his career. Burke has given up 55 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.354, and maintains a FIP of 3.8. Over his career, he has yielded 118 hits while accumulating 122 strikeouts across 129 innings.
Which team will secure the victory in tonight’s MLB game, either against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Chicago (+150)
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