Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros
Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Broadcast: Space City Home Network
Betting Odds: Cleveland (+125) vs Houston (-150)
The Houston Astros (55-36) are set to take on the Cleveland Guardians (41-48) at Daikin Park this Wednesday. Current odds place the Guardians at +125 while the Astros are at -150, with the total runs set at 8.5. Expected starters include Slade Cecconi for Cleveland and Brandon Walter for Houston.
This season, the Guardians have tallied 126 doubles and 87 home runs. Cleveland currently boasts a slugging percentage of .363, with 731 strikeouts and 274 walks drawn. Averaging 3.6 runs per game, they rank 26th in the league. With a total of 304 RBIs and 651 hits this year, their batting average stands at .224, complemented by 319 runs scored and a .295 on-base percentage.
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The Guardians have recorded a K/BB ratio of 2.27 with a cumulative WHIP of 1.36. Their pitchers have allowed 95 home runs and 376 runs (15th in MLB). Cleveland has permitted 739 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) alongside 347 earned runs, sporting a season team ERA of 3.97 (18th in MLB), while striking out 741 batters. They have issued 327 walks and carry a season FIP of 4.14.
The Guardians’ relievers have a 72.7% save rate, appearing in 95 save opportunities and inheriting 108 runners, with 37.0% of those scoring. This season, they have stepped onto the field during high-leverage situations 89 times, utilizing 298 relief pitchers. The bullpen achieved 61 holds (ranked 4th) and recorded 24 saves, converting 24 of 33 save chances.
Cleveland’s defense has converted 68.6% of balls put in play into outs over 7,074 innings (ranked 24th in MLB). The Guardians have 2,358 putouts, 714 assists, and 65 errors, with a fielding percentage of .979, placing them 28th in MLB and contributing to 68 double plays.
Slade Cecconi has pitched 152 innings, accumulating 131 strikeouts in his career. With a career mark of 5-12, he has a FIP of 5.19 and has faced 654 hitters. His ERA sits at 5.27 (89 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.336, allowing 166 hits (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 37 walks.
The Houston Astros have hit 105 home runs this season along with 382 RBIs. They have 133 doubles and drawn 263 walks, accumulating 401 runs. The Astros’ on-base percentage is .325, and they hold a batting average of .260, posting a slugging percentage of .413 and scoring 4.41 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have struck out 696 times (26th) and notched a total of 797 hits.
As a pitching staff, the Astros have a WHIP of 1.164 and a FIP of 3.61. They are ranked 2nd in hits allowed with 672. The Astros’ pitching has surrendered 332 runs, accumulating a team ERA of 3.52 (315 earned runs), with a remarkable K/BB ratio of 9.80 (876 strikeouts to 265 walks). They have permitted 98 home runs and allowed 3.71 runs per 9 innings (also 2nd in MLB).
Houston’s relievers have an inherited scoring percentage of 27.1% from their 96 inherited runners. They have pitched in high-leverage situations 93 times and have appeared with runners on base on 66 occasions. With 100 save situations, the Astros achieved 60 holds and experienced 9 blown saves. Leading the league with a 76.9% save rate, their bullpen has used 278 pitchers so far, successfully converting 30 of 39 save opportunities.
This season, Houston’s defensive efficiency stands at 70.8% (11th in majors) over 7,251 innings. The Astros have turned 56 double plays with an impressive fielding percentage of .987 (8th in majors), recording 705 assists, 40 errors, and achieving 2,417 putouts.
Brandon Walter, in his career, has allowed 69 hits while earning 49 strikeouts across 57 innings. With a career record of 1-1, he has a 5.03 ERA while allowing 10.9 hits per nine innings. His WHIP stands at 1.364 with a FIP of 5.0, boasting a K/BB ratio of 5.44 against 251 opposing hitters thus far.
Who will secure victory in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Houston (-150)
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