Game: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets
Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025
Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Cleveland (+120) | New York (-144)
The Cleveland Guardians (57-55) are set to visit Citi Field this Wednesday to face off against the New York Mets (63-50). The current moneyline shows Cleveland at +120, while New York stands at -144. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, with Gavin Williams and David Peterson expected to take the mound as starting pitchers.
This season, Cleveland boasts a slugging percentage of .377 with a total of 913 strikeouts and 358 walks. They have amassed 426 RBIs and 842 hits, resulting in a batting average of .229. The Guardians have hit 169 doubles and sent 118 balls over the fence, scoring 443 runs with an on-base percentage of .301. On average, the Guardians produce 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 26th in the MLB.
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The Guardians have a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and their pitching staff has achieved a WHIP of 1.30. Guardians pitchers have allowed 121 home runs and 470 runs this season, ranking 13th in the league. Cleveland has conceded 909 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) alongside 429 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.87 (14th in MLB) and 950 strikeouts. They have walked 392 batters, while their FIP stands at 4.07 this year.
The Guardians’ relief corps has a 66.7% save rate and has faced 129 save situations. They have inherited 134 runners, with 36.6% scoring. Relief pitchers have dealt with 96 opponents on base in high-leverage spots this season. So far, the Guardians have utilized 374 relievers, achieving 78 holds (2nd in the league) and 32 saves out of 48 opportunities, blowing 16 saves.
The Guardians have chalked up 2,993 putouts, 920 assists, and 73 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .982, which ranks 28th in MLB. They have executed 85 double plays, converting 69.5% of balls in play into outs across 8,979 innings, placing them 19th globally.
Gavin Williams has pitched 274 innings, recording 277 strikeouts throughout his career. With a career record of 12-19, he holds a FIP of 3.69, having faced 1,171 batters. His earned run average is 3.74 (114 earned runs) with a career WHIP of 1.328, allowing 233 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and 131 walks.
The Mets boast a team slugging percentage of .408, averaging 4.41 runs per game (13th in MLB). This season, they have 179 doubles, accumulated 498 runs, and hit 139 home runs. With 483 RBIs and 906 strikeouts (19th in the league), they’ve recorded 910 total hits, achieving a .241 batting average and .320 OBP.
The New York pitching staff has permitted 459 runs, achieving a team ERA of 3.68 (410 earned runs). They have allowed 100 home runs and concede 4.11 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). With a WHIP of 1.316, the Mets’ staff has a FIP of 3.86 and a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (965 strikeouts vs 407 walks), ranking 12th in total hits allowed with 914.
On the relief side, New York has inherited 180 runners, with a score percentage of 33.9%. Their relievers have entered high-leverage situations 138 times, making 122 appearances with runners on base. In 126 save situations, they have secured 74 holds and recorded 18 blown saves, holding a 65.4% save rate that ranks 10th in the league, utilizing 369 relievers this season. They’ve converted 34 saves from 52 save opportunities.
Across 9,036 innings, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in the majors), have executed 86 double plays, and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB). They’ve achieved 1,015 assists and 54 errors, along with 3,012 putouts this season.
In his career, David Peterson has allowed 541 hits while striking out 569 batters over 581 innings pitched. With a career record of 35-28, he has an earned run average of 3.81, allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His career WHIP stands at 1.344, surrendering 246 earned runs, and holding a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.37, with 2,475 batters faced throughout his tenure.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB encounter against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Choose New York (-144)
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