Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
Betting Odds: Cleveland (+110) Tampa Bay (-132)
The Tampa Bay Rays (69-69) are set to face the Cleveland Guardians (68-69) at George M. Steinbrenner Field this Thursday. Betters will find Cleveland at +110, while Tampa Bay stands at -132. The total for this matchup is set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for this game will be Logan Allen and Ryan Pepiot.
The Guardians have accumulated 194 doubles and hit 142 homers this season. With a slugging percentage of .368, they have struck out 1,129 times and drawn 416 walks. On average, the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.9 runs per game, placing them 27th in MLB. This year, they have recorded 511 RBIs and 1,001 hits, boasting a team batting average of .223, and a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .294.
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Cleveland’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.40 and a combined WHIP of 1.32. They have allowed 152 home runs and a total of 591 runs (13th in MLB). The Guardians’ pitchers have surrendered 1,133 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 540 earned runs. Their team earned run average (ERA) settles at 3.99 (16th in the league), and they have struck out 1,139 hitters while issuing 475 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.17 for the season.
So far this season, the Guardians have used 456 relief pitchers. These relievers have faced 180 inherited runners, with 33.3% scoring. The bullpen has secured 39 saves while failing in 18 of their 57 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 68.4%. They’ve entered games in 152 save situations and gained 92 holds, ranking 4th in MLB. Guardians relievers have appeared with runners on base 128 times and have participated in 159 high-leverage scenarios this year.
The Cincinnati Reds have achieved 3,651 putouts this season, along with 1,120 assists and 86 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in pro baseball) and have completed 102 double plays. The Guardians have converted 69.3% of balls in play into outs over their 10,953 innings, placing them 19th in MLB.
Logan Allen has pitched 356 innings in his career, racking up 303 strikeouts. With a career win-loss record of 22-23, he holds a FIP of 4.50 and has faced 1,552 batters during his time in the MLB. His earned run average (ERA) stands at 4.57, with 181 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.465. Allen has given up 376 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and issued 146 walks throughout his career.
The Tampa Bay Rays have notched 157 home runs this season, alongside 595 RBIs. They have hit 210 doubles, drawn 398 walks, and scored 627 runs. The Rays’ team on-base percentage sits at .313, with a team batting average of .251. They carry a slugging percentage of .403, averaging 4.54 runs per game (13th in MLB). The team has struck out 1,182 times (13th in the league) and totaled 1,168 hits.
The Rays’ pitching staff has allowed 571 runs, boasting a team ERA of 3.89 (528 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 181 home runs and give up 4.21 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). Tampa Bay’s WHIP stands at 1.213, with a FIP of 4.21. The team’s K/BB ratio is impressive at 8.80 (1,194 strikeouts vs 396 walks). Currently, they rank 6th in the league for total hits allowed, with 1,086.
The Rays’ bullpen has inherited 31.5% of their 143 inherited base runners. They have entered high-leverage situations 131 times and appeared 96 times with runners on base. In 135 save situations, the Rays have recorded 78 holds and have blown 23 saves, placing them 25th in MLB with a save conversion rate of 58.2%. This season, Tampa Bay has utilized 435 bullpen pitchers.
The Tampa Bay Rays have executed 127 double plays, achieving a fielding rate of .987 (10th in pro baseball). They have compiled 1,215 assists, 64 errors, and completed 3,667 putouts this year. Across 11,001 innings on the field, the Rays have registered a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (4th in MLB).
In his career, Ryan Pepiot has allowed 282 hits while notching 377 strikeouts over 366 innings. With a 23-19 career record, he carries a 3.47 ERA and permits 6.9 hits per 9 innings. Pepiot has surrendered 141 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.139 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.79, having faced 1,494 opposing batters throughout his MLB tenure.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay Pundit’s Prediction: Bet on Tampa Bay (-132) and under 9 runs
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