Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
Event Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Broadcast: Rangers Sports Network
Betting Odds: Cleveland (-152) Texas (+126)
This Sunday, the Texas Rangers (63-66) host the Cleveland Guardians (64-62) at Globe Life Field. The current moneyline positions the Guardians at -152, while the Rangers are at +126. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, with Gavin Williams and Merrill Kelly expected as the starting pitchers.
The Cleveland Guardians have been averaging 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 26th in Major League Baseball. They have totaled 498 runs with a team OBP of .299. The Guardians have recorded 185 doubles and hit 132 home runs, gaining 479 RBIs and achieving 938 hits, leading to a team batting average of .227. Their slugging percentage stands at .374, with 1,027 strikeouts and 397 walks drawn.
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The Guardians’ pitching staff showcases a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.38, with a collective WHIP of 1.31. They have surrendered 134 home runs and 532 runs (ranking 11th in MLB). With 1,024 hits allowed (8.2 per 9 innings), Cleveland’s earned run total stands at 482. Their team ERA is 3.87 (12th in MLB), complemented by 1,057 strikeouts. The Guardians have issued 445 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.09 for the season.
The Guardians’ bullpen has demonstrated a save rate of 68.5%, responding in 146 save situations. They inherited 160 runners this season, with 33.8% scoring. Relief pitchers have entered with runners on base 114 times and faced 148 high-pressure scenarios, utilizing 423 relievers throughout the campaign. The bullpen has logged 89 holds this season (2nd in MLB) and achieved 37 saves, while failing to convert on 17 of their 54 save chances.
Cleveland’s defense has converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs during their 10,098 innings, positioning them 19th among major league teams. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 3,366 putouts, along with 1,027 assists and 84 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .981, ranking 28th in MLB and recording 93 double plays.
Gavin Williams has contributed 291 innings in his career, accumulating 292 strikeouts with an earned run average of 3.68 (119 ER allowed). His career WHIP is 1.305, with 243 hits allowed (7.5 hits per nine innings) along with 137 walks. Williams holds a win-loss record of 14-19 and has faced 1,240 batters in his MLB career, maintaining a FIP of 3.62.
The Texas Rangers have posted an on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .233 this season. They have logged 1,061 strikeouts (16th in MLB) and 1,008 hits. Texas has achieved 135 home runs and 505 RBIs while averaging 4.09 runs per game (24th in MLB). The Rangers have recorded 193 doubles, taken 387 walks, and contributed 527 runs throughout the year.
Texas holds a team WHIP of 1.193 and a collective FIP of 3.98. They rank 4th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 975 runs allowed this season and a team ERA of 3.48 (443 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.30 (1,052 strikeouts to 390 walks). Opponents have hit 138 home runs against the Rangers, who give up 3.78 runs per 9 innings (ranking 1st in MLB).
The Rangers’ bullpen has an inherited scoring rate of 30.9% from 194 inherited base runners. Their relievers have been involved in 148 high-leverage situations and 136 times with runners on base. In 127 save situations, the Texas bullpen has accumulated 69 holds and 24 blown saves. They sit at 27th in MLB with a save rate of 55.6%, having called upon 407 relievers throughout the campaign. The Rangers have encountered 54 save opportunities, converting on 30.
Throughout 10,299 innings played, the Rangers have achieved a defensive efficiency rate of 72.2%, ranking 1st in the majors. Texas has successfully turned 101 double plays, with a .991 fielding percentage (also 1st in the majors). They have reached 1,109 assists, committed 41 errors, and secured 3,433 putouts this season.
Merrill Kelly has allowed 866 hits in his career while amassing 883 strikeouts over 974 innings pitched, conceding 406 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 1.193 with a FIP of 3.70. Kelly’s K/BB ratio is 2.98, having faced 3,999 batters throughout his professional career. With a win-loss record of 62-51, he has an earned run average of 3.75, allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Choose Cleveland (-152)
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