- Matchup: Colorado Buffaloes vs Houston Cougars
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Venue: Fertitta Center, Houston, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN+
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This Saturday, the Colorado Buffaloes (16-12) will head to the Fertitta Center to challenge the Houston Cougars (23-5).
In their last outing, the Colorado Buffaloes secured a victory against Kansas State, triumphing with a score of 79-70. Colorado finished the game with a shooting percentage of 43.1%, making 25 of 58 attempts, and nailed 9 out of 25 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, the Buffaloes converted 20 of 28 attempts, which is a solid 71.4% rate. They dominated the boards with 40 rebounds, including 7 offensive boards, and racked up 16 assists while forcing 14 turnovers from their opponents, resulting in 6 steals. On defense, Colorado allowed Kansas State to shoot 38.8%, as they made 26 of 67 shots, while Kansas recorded 13 assists and 7 steals. The Wildcats had 32 rebounds (6 offensive, 26 defensive) and did not record any blocks, finishing the game with a free-throw percentage of 72.2% by making 13 of 18 attempts. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 5 of 23 three-point shots. Throughout the game, Colorado committed 15 personal fouls compared to Kansas State’s 19.
One standout player for Colorado was Isaiah Johnson, who performed impressively by shooting 45.5% from the field, dishing out 7 assists, and grabbing 9 rebounds in 33 minutes of play, totaling 18 points on 5 of 11 shooting.
The Buffaloes enter this matchup with an overall record of 16-12. They average 10.3 turnovers per game and commit 17.3 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Colorado grabs 35.1 rebounds per game and has accumulated 439 assists this season, ranking them 103rd nationally. They are hitting 35.3% of their three-point attempts (209 out of 592) and achieving a 75.0% success rate from the free-throw line. Currently, they are averaging 80.1 points per game, positioning them 89th in the nation, while shooting 46.8% overall from the field.
On the defensive end, the Buffaloes are forcing their opponents into 11.3 turnovers per game while committing 18.7 personal fouls. They rank 169th in college basketball in assists allowed, having given up 379 assists this year. Colorado’s defense allows a 45.4% field goal percentage (765 of 1,686) and gives up an average of 34.8 rebounds per game. Opponents are shooting 36.4% from beyond the arc against them, ranking 293rd in Division 1 for points allowed per game (77.9).
In their last appearance, the Houston Cougars faced a defeat against Kansas, finishing at 69-56. Houston allowed Kansas to grab a total of 35 rebounds, including 7 on the offensive end. They managed to hit 41.2% from three-point range (7 of 17) and shot exceptionally well at the free-throw line, going 18 for 20 (90.0%). Kansas converted 22 of 50 shots from the floor for 44.0%. Despite their struggles, the Cougars shot only 31.8%, completing 21 of 66 attempts, and made 5 of 24 three-point attempts (20.8%). Kansas committed 9 fouls during the game, granting the Cougars a total of 9 free-throw attempts. Houston recorded 6 turnovers alongside 6 steals and collected 28 rebounds (18 defensively, 10 offensively) during the contest.
Kingston Flemings stood out for Houston, scoring 16 points on 6 of 18 shooting, alongside 2 rebounds and 2 assists in 34 minutes of play.
The Cougars possess a record of 23-5 this season. They are averaging 18.4 personal fouls per game and have a free-throw success rate of 77.6%. They are providing 14.9 assists per game (117th nationally) while averaging only 8.3 turnovers. This season, Houston has accumulated 2,146 points (76.6 per game) and secures 36.9 rebounds per game. Offensively, the Cougars are achieving a 44.4% shooting percentage from the field, ranking 234th in Division 1.
On defense, the Cougars allow 31.6% from three-point territory (191 of 604) and opponents convert 67.8% of their free throws. They give up 11.2 assists and 33.6 rebounds per game, ranking 32nd and 137th, respectively, in college basketball. Defensively, Houston ranks 2nd in the nation for points allowed per game at 62.3 and forces 13.9 turnovers per game while holding opponents to a shooting percentage of 40.0% (21st in the country).
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Take Houston
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