Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: Colorado (+150) Boston (-182)
The Colorado Rockies (21-69) are set to take on the Boston Red Sox (46-45) this Tuesday at Fenway Park. The moneyline for this matchup places the Rockies at +150, while the Red Sox are opening at -182. The total runs over/under is established at 9. Pitchers for this game include Kyle Freeland and Brayan Bello.
The Rockies currently hold a team slugging percentage of .383, accumulating 871 strikeouts compared to 238 walks. They have secured 313 RBIs with 697 hits this season, alongside a batting average of .231. As a collective, Colorado has achieved 147 doubles and 86 home runs, producing 321 runs while maintaining a team on-base percentage of .292. They average 3.6 runs per game, placing them 26th in the league.
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This season, the Rockies have recorded a team ERA of 5.51, which ranks 30th in the league, while their pitchers have struck out a total of 589 opponents. They have allowed 117 home runs and have surrendered 550 runs, also ranking 30th in major league baseball. The team has issued 314 walks, leading to a collective FIP of 4.81. Colorado’s pitching staff has registered 919 hits allowed (10.5 per 9 innings) and gives up 483 earned runs, landing a K/BB ratio of 1.88 with a WHIP of 1.56.
The Rockies have utilized 302 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has inherited 173 runners, with 34.1% crossing home plate. This season, they have achieved 16 saves out of 31 opportunities, maintaining a save percentage of 51.6%. They have entered 67 save situations, accumulating 36 holds (29th in the league). Rocky pitchers have faced players on base 101 times, in addition to 94 instances in high leverage situations.
Defensively, the Rockies have converted 66.0% of batted balls into outs in their 7,101 innings, ranking last in the league. The Cleveland Guardians have executed 2,367 putouts, 860 assists, and recorded 75 errors this season, holding a fielding percentage of .977 (30th in MLB) with 88 double plays.
Kyle Freeland has pitched 1,180 innings throughout his baseball career, striking out 881 batters. His earned run average stands at 4.55 with a WHIP of 1.429, having allowed 1,313 hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) and issued 374 walks. With a career record of 61-82, Freeland has a FIP of 4.48 and has faced 5,132 batters in the majors.
The Boston Red Sox maintain a team on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .254 this season. They have been struck out 833 times (3rd in MLB) with a total of 799 hits. Boston has recorded 111 home runs and 428 RBIs, boasting a slugging percentage of .426 and averaging 4.92 runs per game (6th in the league). They have garnered 183 doubles, 299 walks, and scored 448 runs.
On the pitching front, the Red Sox have yielded 415 runs this season, achieving an ERA of 3.96. They have allowed 87 home runs while conceding 4.58 runs per 9 innings, ranking 22nd in MLB. This season, they have a WHIP of 1.329 and a FIP of 3.90, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.40 (761 strikeouts against 313 walks). They currently rank 22nd in total hits allowed with 770.
With 91 save situations this season, Boston has achieved 47 holds while recording 18 blown saves. Their bullpen has executed 42 save opportunities, leading to 24 saves. Their relievers have entered high leverage situations 115 times, with runners on in 93 of those appearances. The Red Sox bullpen has a rate of 32.8% for inherited runners scoring out of 125 inherited runners. They rank 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 57.1%, having called upon 300 relievers this season.
Boston’s defense has turned 78 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in the majors). They have registered 835 assists, committed 74 errors, and completed 2,447 putouts this season. Across 7,341 innings, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (26th in the majors).
In his professional career, Bello has allowed 469 hits and racked up 395 strikeouts over 452 innings pitched. Bello has a career win-loss record of 32-30 along with a 4.26 ERA and allows 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has given up 214 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.411 and a FIP of 4.2. He has faced 1,967 opposing hitters throughout his MLB career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Choose Colorado (+150)
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