Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Lines: Colorado (+120) Cincinnati (-144)
The Cincinnati Reds (48-46) are set to face off against the Colorado Rockies (21-72) at Great American Ball Park this Sunday. The betting line features the Rockies at +120 while the Reds open at -144. The total runs are pegged at 8.5. Starting for the Rockies will be Austin Gomber, and Nick Martinez will take the mound for the Reds.
This season, Colorado’s slugging percentage stands at .380, with the team striking out 899 times and earning walks 242 times. The Rockies have tallied 320 RBIs and achieved 717 hits, resulting in a batting average of .230. The team has hit 150 doubles and launched 88 home runs, accumulating 328 runs while maintaining an on-base percentage of .291. Currently, Colorado ranks 27th in the league with an average of 3.5 runs scored per game.
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The Rockies possess a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.91, and their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.58. This season, Rockies pitchers have surrendered 126 home runs and a total of 579 runs (ranked 30th in MLB). Colorado has allowed 960 hits (10.6 per 9 innings) along with 511 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 5.66 (30th in baseball), and they’ve struck out 612 batters while walking 321 and posting a FIP of 4.88 for the season.
The Rockies’ relief pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 105 times in high-pressure situations, achieving 36 holds (29th in MLB). With a save conversion rate of 51.6%, they have stepped into 67 save opportunities but have converted only 16 saves from 31 attempts. The bullpen has inherited 179 base runners, with 34.1% scoring. Thus far, the Rockies have called on 312 relievers this year.
The Cleveland Guardians have recorded 2,439 putouts, complemented by 889 assists and 77 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .977, ranking 30th in the majors. The Rockies have turned 65.7% of balls in play into outs across their 7,317 defensive innings, placing them last in professional baseball.
Austin Gomber has pitched 672 innings, accumulating 516 strikeouts throughout his career in Major League Baseball. With a career record of 35-42, he holds a FIP of 4.83 and has faced 2,878 hitters. His career ERA stands at 4.90, allowing 714 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 208 walks.
The Reds are enjoying a collective slugging percentage of .395 and average 4.59 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have amassed 150 doubles, drawn 308 walks, and scored 431 runs. Cincinnati has hit 100 home runs this season and has recorded 408 RBIs. They have struck out 821 times (4th in the league) and have accumulated 770 hits, maintaining an OBP of .316 and a batting average of .245 this season.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff boasts a team WHIP of 1.244 with a FIP of 4.23. Currently, they rank 10th in the league for total hits allowed (740) and have permitted 402 runs this season, with a collective ERA of 3.96 (365 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.10 (749 strikeouts vs. 293 walks). The Reds have given up 112 home runs and allow 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).
The Reds’ bullpen has a 34.7% inherited score rate from 118 inherited runners, appearing in 82 high-stakes situations. With 91 save opportunities, the relief corps has achieved 56 holds and has encountered 11 blown saves. They rank 10th in MLB with a save rate of 66.7%, having used 318 relievers this year and converting 22 saves from 33 save chances.
Across 7,476 innings, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (4th in MLB). They have converted 56 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in MLB). The Reds have recorded 718 assists, 48 errors, and 2,492 putouts in 2025.
Throughout his career, Martinez has yielded 881 hits while amassing 627 strikeouts over 879 innings. He has allowed 409 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 4.1. His career K/BB ratio is 2.31, facing 3,737 batters to date. Martinez holds a 4.19 ERA and permits 9.0 hits per nine innings.
Which team will secure the victory tonight against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Cincinnati (-144)
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