Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Forecast, 8/28/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX

Broadcast: Space City Home Network

Betting Odds: Colorado (+110) Houston (-132)

The Houston Astros, currently at 72 wins and 60 losses, host the struggling Colorado Rockies, who sit at 38 wins and 94 losses, at Daikin Park this Thursday. The moneyline for this contest shows Colorado at +110 and Houston at -132, with the total runs projected at 8.5. The starting pitchers for the game are Kyle Freeland and Jason Alexander.

As a collective unit, the Colorado Rockies are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which places them 29th in the league. They have a total of 497 runs this season, with an on-base percentage of .295. The Rockies have recorded 214 doubles and hit 134 home runs, accumulating 484 RBIs and 1,054 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .238. Their slugging percentage stands at .392, while they have struck out 1,228 times and drawn 328 walks.

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On the pitching front, Colorado holds a team ERA of 5.96, ranking them 30th in the league. The pitching staff has struck out 876 batters while allowing 192 home runs and a total of 841 runs (also 30th in baseball). With 460 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) score stands at 5.10 for the season. The Rockies have allowed 1,390 hits (10.9 per 9 innings) and 763 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.90 and a WHIP of 1.61.

Colorado’s bullpen has a save conversion rate of 54.3%, having entered 96 save situations this season. They’ve inherited 237 base runners this year, with 34.6% scoring. Rockies relievers have been called into action with runners on base 139 times, appearing in 123 high-leverage moments throughout the campaign. A total of 440 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Colorado, with the bullpen managing only 50 holds this season (last in MLB) and converting 25 out of 46 save opportunities.

The Rockies’ defensive statistics reflect 3,454 putouts, 1,234 assists, and 99 errors, yielding a defensive fielding percentage of .979 (30th in the major leagues) along with 130 double plays. They have turned 65.4% of balls put into play into outs in their 10,362 innings, ranking them last in the league.

Freeland has thrown a total of 1,222 innings and has managed 911 strikeouts over his career. With a career record of 63-86, he holds a FIP of 4.50, facing 5,312 batters throughout his time in the majors. His ERA currently sits at 4.57 (with 620 earned runs allowed), and his WHIP is 1.428, having given up 1,357 hits (10.0 hits allowed per 9 innings) while issuing 388 walks.

The Astros boast a slugging percentage of .401 and average 4.25 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have 201 doubles, generated 387 walks, and scored 561 runs, along with 146 home runs and 536 RBIs. The Astros have struck out 1,045 times (24th in MLB) and tallied 1,133 hits, with an on-base percentage of .318 and a season batting average of .253.

As a pitching unit, the Astros have a WHIP of 1.224 and a FIP of 3.95 for the current season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.50 (1,240 strikeouts vs. 407 walks), ranking fifth in the league for total hits allowed with 1,032. They relinquish 4.19 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league) and have given up 547 runs this year, with an ERA of 3.90 (509 earned runs allowed).

Houston’s bullpen has successfully prevented runs from 26.1% of the 134 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound in 133 high-leverage situations and 100 times with base runners present. Of the 130 save situations, they’ve secured 75 holds and recorded 14 blown saves, boasting a 73.1% save percentage—ranking them second in the MLB. In total, 417 bullpen pitchers have been called upon during this season, with 38 saves achieved out of 52 opportunities.

Defensively, the Astros have turned 89 double plays and posted a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). They’ve recorded 1,058 assists, made 55 errors, and achieved 3,527 putouts this season. With 10,581 innings recorded, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.4% (11th in the majors).

In his career, Alexander has allowed 136 hits while tallying 84 strikeouts across 120 innings pitched. He has surrendered 68 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.522 and a FIP of 5.0. His K/BB ratio is 1.79 after facing 536 batters, and Alexander possesses a career record of 6-4 with an earned run average of 5.09 while permitting 10.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will prevail in this evening’s MLB game, covering the spread or the moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Take Colorado (+110)

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