Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
Scheduled Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: Colorado (+132) San Diego (-160)
On Thursday, Petco Park will host the matchup between the San Diego Padres (79-66) and the Colorado Rockies (40-105). The betting line shows Colorado at +132 and San Diego at -160. The total runs over/under is set at 8. The pitchers expected to take the mound are McCade Brown for the Rockies and Randy Vasquez for the Padres.
This season, the Colorado Rockies boast a slugging percentage of .392, having struck out 1,351 times while walking on 360 occasions. Their offensive lineup has driven in 531 runs with a total of 1,166 hits, leading to a batting average of .240. The Rockies have notched 234 doubles and hit 144 home runs, accumulating a total of 545 runs and an on-base percentage of .297. Across games, Colorado averages 3.8 runs per matchup, ranking them 29th in the league.
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Colorado’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.60. Their pitchers have allowed 221 home runs and a total of 922 earned runs, ranking 30th overall. The Rockies have given up 1,520 hits (10.8 per 9 innings) this season, posting an ERA of 6.01 (30th in the league) with 971 strikeouts. They’ve issued 503 walks, while their FIP stands at 5.22 so far this year.
With a total of 478 relief pitchers deployed this season, Rockies relievers have inherited 254 base runners, of which 36.6% have scored. They’ve notched 26 saves but failed to convert on 24 of their 50 save opportunities. Their current save percentage is 52.0%, and they’ve recorded 51 holds (30th in baseball). Rockies’ bullpen pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 149 times and have appeared in 129 high-leverage situations this season.
The Cleveland Guardians have tallied 3,793 putouts, along with 1,341 assists and 101 errors, culminating in a fielding rate of .981, ranking them 29th in the majors with 142 double plays. The Rockies have turned 65.7% of balls in play into outs across 11,379 innings, placing them last in professional baseball.
Brown has pitched 9 innings, amassing 6 strikeouts in his professional career. With a career record of 0-3, Brown’s FIP is 12.66, having faced 53 batters in the major leagues. His ERA sits at 12.86 (allowing 13 earned runs) with a WHIP of 2.418, yielding 15 hits (14.8 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 7 walks.
For the Padres, they have recorded 127 home runs and 579 RBIs this season. With 237 doubles and 465 walks, they have scored 616 runs. The San Diego Padres boast an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .252 for the current season. Their slugging percentage is .386, averaging 4.25 runs per game, placing them 23rd in baseball. They have struck out 1,030 times (28th in the league) and accumulated 1,220 hits.
The Padres have a WHIP of 1.209 and a team FIP of 4.03 this year, leading the league in total hits conceded at 1,073. San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 563 runs with an ERA of 3.66 (521 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.80 (1,254 strikeouts vs 476 walks), having allowed 157 home runs and conceding 3.96 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).
The Padres’ relief corps has an inherited scoring percentage of 28.8% from their 233 inherited base runners. They have faced 193 high-leverage situations and have needed to step in with runners on base 164 times. With 155 save opportunities, they have achieved 91 holds and 15 blown saves. They rank first in baseball with a save percentage of 74.6%, having used 514 relief pitchers this season. In 59 save situations, they have secured 44 saves.
The Padres have posted a defensive efficiency rating of 71.8% (2nd in the majors) across 11,529 innings. They have executed 105 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in baseball), with 1,093 assists, 67 errors, and 3,843 putouts for the season.
In his career, Vasquez has allowed 262 hits while securing 157 strikeouts over 252 innings. With a career record of 10-15, he holds an ERA of 4.14, allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings. Additionally, he has given up 116 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.419 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio stands at 1.64 with 1,103 batters faced during his professional career.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on San Diego (-160)
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