Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Forecast, 3/16/2026 Analysis and Selection

Home » Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Forecast, 3/16/2026 Analysis and Selection

  • Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans
  • Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
  • Broadcast: Gulf Coast Sports

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The New Orleans Pelicans (22-46) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (22-45) to Smoothie King Center this Monday.

NBA trends and insights Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks faced off against the Cavaliers in their latest game, suffering a loss with a score of 138-105. Dallas recorded a total of 14 personal fouls, while Cleveland committed 22 in the match. The Mavericks hit 18 of their 38 three-point attempts, achieving a remarkable 83.3% from the free-throw line, converting 20 of 24 attempts. Defensively, Dallas struggled, allowing Cleveland to shoot 61.5% from the field with 56 successful shots out of 91 attempts. Furthermore, Dallas gathered 40 rebounds (12 offensive) and managed to create 14 turnovers while forcing 12 steals.

Cooper Flagg played a key role in the last game, hitting 50.0% from the floor with 5 assists in 29 minutes and grabbing 4 rebounds, totaling 25 points with an 8 of 16 shooting performance.

Dallas heads into this clash with a record of 22-45 this season. They average 14.9 turnovers and commit about 18.1 fouls per game. The Mavericks are generating 44.9 rebounds per matchup and have tallied 1,670 assists throughout the season, ranking 23rd in the league for assists. Their three-point shooting stands at 33.9% (710 of 2,092), and they convert 74.5% from the free-throw line. Offensively, they score an average of 112.9 points per game (24th in the NBA) with a field goal percentage of 46.8%.

Defensively, the Mavericks create 13.1 turnovers per game and draw 21.0 fouls on average. Dallas ranks low, allowing 1,867 assists this season (25th in the NBA). They maintain a field goal defense of 47.2% (2,974 of 6,307) and concede 46.6 rebounds per game while allowing opponents to make 34.2% of their three-pointers against them. They also rank 23rd in the league for points allowed per game (118.0).

In their last outing, the Pelicans narrowly lost to the Rockets, with the score ending 107-105. New Orleans secured 48 rebounds, combining 33 defensive and 15 offensive boards. They turned the ball over 13 times but recorded 7 steals. The Rockets committed 21 fouls, giving the Pelicans 26 free-throw attempts, of which they made 18 (69.2%). New Orleans shot 37 of 84 from the floor for a shooting percentage of 44.0%. They allowed Houston to shoot 42.6% with 40 successful baskets out of 94 attempts.

Jeremiah Fears had a notable performance, hitting 3 of 9 shots, yielding a shooting percentage of 33.3%, along with 1 rebound and 9 points over 13 minutes of play, although he did not register any assists.

New Orleans’ current win-loss record stands at 22-46. On offense, the Pelicans shoot 46.5% from the field, positioning them 19th in the league. They have scored a total of 7,850 points this season (averaging 115.4 per game) and pull down 44.0 rebounds per matchup. Their assist rate is at 25.1 assists per game (23rd in basketball), along with an average of 14.3 turnovers. The Pelicans also average 20.0 personal fouls and excel at free-throw shooting with a percentage of 78.7%.

Defensively, the Pelicans are currently ranked 26th in the league for points allowed (119.8 per game). They force 14.6 turnovers from their opponents while allowing a field goal percentage of 47.4% (23rd in the league). New Orleans permits 34.8% shooting from beyond the arc (977 of 2,804), and opponents convert 77.9% of their free throws. They yield an average of 27.8 assists and 45.6 rebounds per game, placing them 26th and 24th respectively in the league.

Who will cover the spread in tonight’s NBA faceoff?

Prediction: Take New Orleans

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Pick: New Orleans Pelicans Forecast
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