- Matchup: Dallas Stars vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
- Venue: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: TNT/HBO Max
- Betting Odds: Stars -275, Lightning +220
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On Thursday, the Tampa Bay Lightning (4-4-2) will take on the Dallas Stars (6-3-1) at Amalie Arena. The moneyline reflects Dallas at -275 and Tampa Bay at +220, with the over/under set at 6.5.
The Dallas Stars secured a narrow 1-0 victory over the Capitals in their last outing. During that game, they spent 6 minutes in the penalty box and converted 1 goal out of 4 power play opportunities. Their offensive display could have been more potent, as they managed only 1 goal from 19 total shots.
While playing at even strength, the Stars’ defense has allowed 21 goals, with their offense contributing 17. Their opponents have had 31 power play opportunities (ranking 19th in the league) and scored 9 times. The Stars have netted 28 goals this season (24th in the NHL) while conceding 30. With 268 shots taken, Dallas boasts a shooting percentage of 10.5%. They currently hold 13 points, resulting in a points percentage of .650. The Stars have seen 284 shots against them, achieving a save percentage of .894. From 35 power play chances, they scored 11 goals, reflecting a percentage of 31.43%.
In goal for Dallas will be Jake Oettinger. Throughout his career, Oettinger has achieved 147 quality starts, with a quality start percentage of .588. He holds a career save percentage of .912 across 13,323 minutes played and has faced 7,135 shots, recording 6,506 saves. Over his NHL journey, Oettinger has allowed 629 goals, resulting in a goals against average of 2.52. His overall record stands at 154-68-28, with 250 games started.
Last game, the Tampa Bay Lightning triumphed over the Predators 5-2, capitalizing on 4 power play opportunities but failing to convert. They managed to score 5 goals from a total of 30 shots on goal.
This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have netted 29 goals and accumulated 10 points, achieving a points percentage of .500. They’ve allowed 30 goals—26 at even strength and 4 while short-handed. The Lightning have scored 24 goals at even strength, and only 5 goals on the power play (ranking 25th in the league). Out of 35 power play opportunities, their percentage stands at 14.29%. Tampa Bay has taken 262 shots (26th in the NHL), with a shooting percentage of 11.07%, while allowing their opponents 292 shots. Their penalty kill percentage is at 88.24%, yielding only 4 goals from 34 power plays, while their current save percentage is 89.7%.
In net, the Lightning will likely deploy Andrei Vasilevskiy. He holds a career record of 333-166-37 and has participated in 547 games. Vasilevskiy’s quality start percentage is 57.5%, with 309 quality starts throughout his career. He has amassed 14,939 saves out of 16,294 shots faced, resulting in a save percentage of .917. His opponents average 2.52 goals per game, totaling 1,355 goals scored against him. He has started in 537 games, accumulating 28,637 minutes on the ice.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NHL clash? Can the Stars cover the spread or secure the moneyline?
Prediction: Go with Dallas (-275)
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