Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire Predictions and UFC 318 Odds for July 19, 2025

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Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire

UFC 318 Event Details

Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025

On Saturday, July 19, 2025, Dan Ige will step into the Octagon to face Patricio Freire at UFC 318. Currently, Ige is favored at -204, while Freire is positioned at +166.

Dan “50K” Ige is aiming to enhance his record of 19 wins and 9 losses. At 33 years old, he weighs 145 lbs, stands 5’7″, and has a reach of 71 inches. Meanwhile, Patricio “Pitbull” Freire, standing at 5’6″ and also weighing 145 lbs, seeks to improve his impressive record of 36 wins and 8 losses. At 38 years of age, Freire has a reach of 67 inches. In terms of significant strikes, Ige lands an average of 3.67 per minute, while Freire connects with 2.45. Ige’s striking accuracy is at 45%, compared to Freire’s 40%. Regarding defense, “50K” absorbs 3.55 significant strikes per minute, whereas “Pitbull” incurs 4.48. Ige successfully defends 56% of significant strikes against him, while Freire successfully blocks 57% of incoming blows.

Dan Ige UFC Predictions and Betting Odds

 

UFC 318 Stats Dan Ige Patricio Freire
Opening Odds -204 +166
Fight Record 19-9-0 36-8-0
Average Fight Duration 12:42 16:20
Height 5’7″ 5’6″
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71″ 67″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.67 2.45
Striking Accuracy 45% 40%

In wrestling, Dan Ige demonstrates more efficiency, averaging 0.94 takedowns every three rounds at a success rate of 25%. He also successfully defends against 58% of all takedown attempts. On the other hand, Freire secures takedowns 20% of the time and defends 88% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Ige averages only 0.2 submissions per three rounds, while Freire attempts 0.7 subs within 15 minutes.

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In his last match, Dan Ige faced Sean Woodson and claimed victory with a knockout in the third round. Woodson struck 57 out of 121 attempts overall, landing 44% of his significant strikes. Ige, in contrast, achieved 53 out of 116 total strikes, connecting 41% of his significant strikes attempted, with 41% of his significant strikes aimed at the head.

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In Patricio Freire’s most recent fight against Yair Rodriguez, he lost by unanimous decision in the third round. Rodriguez successfully landed 61% of his significant strikes at a distance, while Freire managed an impressive 100% accuracy on his own distance strikes. Freire recorded 34% accuracy overall, striking 17 out of 50 attempts, including 8 out of 38 aimed at the head. Rodriguez landed a significant total of 70 out of 122 significant strikes in that bout.

Key Fights to Watch

Don’t miss the matchup between Michael Johnson and Daniel Zellhuber. Johnson enters the Octagon with a record of 24-19-0, weighing in at 155 lbs and standing 5’10”. This southpaw fighter has a reach of 73 inches. Zellhuber, measuring 6’1″ and weighing 155 lbs, boasts a record of 15-2-0. In grappling, Johnson averages 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes while Zellhuber records 0.18. In striking, Johnson lands 4.23 strikes per minute at an accuracy of 39%, while Zellhuber connects at 6.26 strikes per minute with a 40% accuracy rate.

Another fight to keep an eye on is the bout between Vinicius Oliveira and Kyler Phillips. Phillips has a record of 12-3-0 and weighs 135 lbs, standing at 5’8″ with a 72-inch reach. Oliveira, standing at 5’9″ and also weighing 135 lbs, intends to boost his record of 22-3-0. Phillips successfully defends against 75% of takedowns and completes 51% of his own attempts. Oliveira, meanwhile, executes takedowns 60% of the time and defends against 76% of opponent attempts. In terms of striking, Phillips lands 5.28 strikes per minute while absorbing 3.47, whereas Oliveira lands 4.92 and absorbs 2.77.

Which fighter will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC showdown?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Support Patricio Freire (+166)

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