- Matchup: Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: CBSSN
- Point Spread: Saint Louis (-6)
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The Dayton Flyers (21-10) travel to PPG Paints Arena this Saturday to battle the Saint Louis Billikens (27-4) in the Atlantic 10 Semifinals. The Billikens enter the game as 6-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 149 points.
In their last outing, the Dayton Flyers suffered a defeat against VCU, ending the game at 68-62. The Flyers committed 13 fouls compared to 15 by VCU. They converted 8 of their 21 three-point attempts, while VCU achieved an impressive 76.9% at the free-throw line, making 10 of 13. VCU grabbed a total of 28 rebounds (4 offensive, 24 defensive) without any blocks. They also recorded 12 assists and 5 steals. Defensively, Dayton allowed a shooting percentage of 49.0%, with VCU scoring 25 out of 51 attempts. The Flyers assisted 11 times, forced 7 turnovers, and made 4 steals. On the boards, Dayton pulled down 31 rebounds, including 9 offensive. At the free-throw line, they converted 8 of 15 attempts, finishing with a percentage of 53.3%. Overall, Dayton shot 45.5% from the field (25 out of 55) and made 4 out of 22 three-point attempts.
Javon Bennett was a standout player in this game, shooting 54.5% and contributing 2 assists while playing 37 minutes. He racked up 17 points on 6 of 11 shooting.
Dayton approaches this game with a 21-10 record for the season. They average 75.1 points per game (199th in Division 1) and shoot 45.3% from the field. From beyond the arc, the Flyers have a shooting percentage of 33.9% (233 of 687) and 75.1% from the free-throw line. As a team, they average 32.5 rebounds per game and have accumulated 445 assists this season, ranking 183rd in Division 1 in this category. They turn the ball over 12.1 times per game and commit an average of 16.6 fouls.
Defensively, the Flyers force their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and draw 20.3 fouls. They concede 35.4% shooting on three-pointers and rank 74th in Division 1 for points allowed per game at 70.1. Their opponents have shot 43.6% (749 of 1,716) against them, while Dayton surrenders an average of 34.0 rebounds per game. Notably, they are ranked 63rd in Division 1 for assists allowed, having given up 383 assists this season.
In their previous matchup, the Saint Louis Billikens faced a significant loss, falling 86-57 against George Mason. The Billikens allowed George Mason to collect 39 rebounds in total, with 12 on the offensive side. They made 36.8% of their three-point attempts (7 of 19) and finished at 84.6% from the free-throw line (11 of 13). Defensively, Saint Louis conceded a 57.6% shooting percentage from the field (34 of 59). Overall, the Billikens shot 39.7% from the field, completing 23 out of 58 attempts and made 4 of their 24 three-pointers for a 16.7% success rate, while converting 7 free-throws for a percentage of 58.3%. George Mason was held to 14 fouls, giving the Billikens 12 free-throw tries. They turned the ball over 11 times while securing 7 steals during the game. Saint Louis managed to grab 24 rebounds (14 defensive, 10 offensive).
Dion Brown was instrumental for the Billikens, scoring 13 points in 20 minutes of action. He had an assist, shot 66.7% from the field (6 of 9), and added 2 rebounds.
The Billikens’ season record stands at 27-4. Offensively, they boast a shooting percentage of 51.3%, positioning them 5th in college basketball. They have amassed 2,722 points this season (averaging 87.8 points per game) and pull down an average of 40.2 rebounds. Additionally, they record 18.4 assists per game, ranking 9th in Division 1, and turnover an average of 12.3 times per game. Saint Louis commits 18.2 fouls on a nightly basis and converts 73.3% of their free throws.
The Billikens rank 59th in Division 1 for points allowed per game at 69.1. They force roughly 11.9 turnovers per game and limit opponents to a shooting percentage of 37.9% (1st in Division 1). Their defense permits only 29.1% shooting from beyond the arc (223 of 766) and allows opponents to convert 73.1% of their free-throw attempts. They concede an average of 11.6 assists and 32.1 rebounds per game, placing them 49th and 57th among college teams, respectively.
Who’s favored to win in tonight’s NCAA matchup?
Prediction: Bet on Saint Louis (-6)
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