- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Lines: Detroit (+132), Boston (-160)
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The Detroit Tigers (85-73) are set to face the Boston Red Sox (87-71) at Fenway Park this Saturday. The moneyline for this matchup has Detroit at +132, while Boston stands at -160. The total runs over/under is established at 8. On the mound will be Chris Paddack for Detroit and Kyle Harrison for Boston.

This season, the Tigers boast a slugging percentage of .415, with 1,412 strikeouts and 495 walks. They have accrued 712 RBIs and 1,313 hits, holding a batting average of .247. Detroit has hit 241 doubles and smashed 194 home runs. Their offensive output averages 4.7 runs per game, ranking them 11th overall in the league.
The Tigers’ strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.80, and their pitching staff holds a combined WHIP of 1.25. They have allowed 185 home runs and 680 runs (17th in the league), pitching 1,280 hits (8.2 hits/9 innings) and yielding 619 earned runs. Their season ERA stands at 3.97, ranking 16th in MLB, with 1,337 strikeouts recorded. The Tigers have issued 477 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.09.
Detroit’s pitchers have entered with runners on base 177 times, also facing 133 high-leverage situations. The bullpen has secured 71 holds this season (26th in MLB) and achieved a 64.4% save rate, with 38 saves from 134 situations. They have inherited 251 runners, with 28.7% scoring. In total, 495 relievers have pitched for the Tigers this season.
The Tigers have recorded 4,206 putouts, 1,352 assists, and 78 errors this year, yielding a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB), turning 126 double plays. They rank 13th in the majors, converting 70.2% of batted balls into outs over a total of 12,618 innings.
Chris Paddack has pitched 576 innings, accumulating 524 strikeouts throughout his career. With a professional record of 32 wins and 35 losses, he has a FIP of 4.55 and faced 2,417 batters, while sporting an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.207. He has conceded 574 hits at a 9.0 hits per nine innings rate, alongside 122 walks.
The Boston Red Sox show a .325 on-base percentage and a .255 batting average in the current season. With 1,381 strikeouts (8th in MLB) and 1,386 hits, they also have hit 184 home runs and accounted for 738 RBIs. Boston’s slugging percentage is at .423, averaging 4.91 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have hit 316 doubles, drawn 510 walks, and scored 776 runs.
On the pitching side, the Red Sox have surrendered 662 runs, with a combined ERA of 3.72 (584 earned runs permitted). They’ve allowed 161 home runs and 4.22 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). As a staff, they have a WHIP of 1.285 and a FIP of 3.99. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.40 (1,324 strikeouts vs. 515 walks), ranking them 15th in MLB in total hits allowed (1,301).
Boston’s bullpen has recorded 44 saves from 72 save opportunities, ranking 21st in save percentage at 61.1%. They have used 522 relievers this season, with their bullpen appearing in 186 high-leverage situations and 154 times with runners on base. The inherited scoring percentage from their 211 runners stands at 33.2%. Out of 158 save situations, Boston’s bullpen has achieved 84 holds and had 28 blown saves.
In 12,720 innings played, the Red Sox defense has a efficiency of 69.1% (21st in MLB). They have turned 126 double plays, owning a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in MLB), securing 1,434 assists, 114 errors, and 4,240 putouts this season.
Kyle Harrison has given up 182 hits over his career, notching 185 strikeouts in 191 innings pitched. Harrison’s career record stands at 9-9, with an ERA of 4.33 and allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has yielded 92 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.287 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.89, having faced 816 hitters throughout his MLB journey.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Boston (-160)
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