- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Detroit (+150) Boston (-182)
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The Detroit Tigers (85-73) are gearing up for a challenge as they travel to Fenway Park to face off against the Boston Red Sox (87-71) this Friday. The moneyline for the contest places the Tigers at +150, while the Red Sox are favored at -182. The total runs over/under for this game is pegged at 9. Anticipated starting pitchers include Casey Mize and Connelly Early.
The Detroit Tigers have been averaging 4.7 runs per game, positioning them at 11th place in the MLB rankings. They’ve accumulated a total of 746 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .316. Collectively, the Tigers have hit 241 doubles and launched 194 home runs this season, with 712 runs batted in and 1,313 hits. Their team batting average stands at .247. Detroit’s slugging percentage is .415, with a total of 1,412 strikeouts and 495 walks throughout the year.
The Tigers’ K/BB ratio is at 2.80, and their combined WHIP stands at 1.25. On the mound, Detroit pitchers have given up 185 home runs and 680 runs, ranking them 17th in the league. The Tigers have allowed 1,280 hits this season (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and have incurred 619 earned runs, resulting in a team earned run average of 3.97 (16th in MLB). They have recorded a total of 1,337 strikeouts as a staff and issued 477 walks, with a collective FIP of 4.09 on the year.
The Tigers’ bullpen has achieved a save rate of 64.4%, having entered 134 save situations. Relief pitchers have inherited 251 runners, with 28.7% crossing home plate. This season, Tigers’ relievers have intervened on 177 occasions with runners on base and appeared in 133 high-leverage scenarios. The team has utilized 495 pitchers this year, with 71 holds (26th in MLB). They’ve recorded 38 saves out of 59 opportunities, blowing 21 saves.
The Colorado Rockies have compiled 4,206 putouts this season alongside 1,352 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986, placing them 14th in professional baseball, and they have executed 126 double plays. The Tigers have achieved a 70.2% conversion rate for balls in play to outs over 12,618 innings, which ranks them 13th in major league baseball.
Mize (23-25 career record) has a FIP of 4.15, facing 1,845 batters during his MLB career. He has allowed 440 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 121 walks. His earned run average is 4.22 (203 earned runs), with a career WHIP of 1.295. Mize has logged 433 innings and tallied 357 strikeouts in his career.
On the other hand, the Boston Red Sox have hit 184 home runs this season and tallied 738 runs batted in. They have recorded 316 doubles, drawn 510 walks, and amassed 776 runs. The Red Sox maintain an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .255 this season. Their team slugging percentage is .423, scoring an average of 4.91 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have faced 1,381 strikeouts (8th in MLB) and have made a total of 1,386 hits.
The Red Sox pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.285 and a FIP of 3.99 for the year. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.40 (1,324 strikeouts against 515 walks). They are ranked 15th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,301) and have surrendered 161 home runs, giving up 4.22 runs per nine innings (11th in MLB). The staff has allowed 662 runs this season, leading to a team ERA of 3.72 (584 earned runs).
Boston’s bullpen has been called upon during 72 save opportunities, successfully converting 44 into saves. They rank 21st in MLB with a save rate of 61.1%, having used 522 relievers this year. Their bullpen pitchers have appeared in high-leverage situations 186 times and have faced runners on base 154 times. Their inherited runner scoring rate is at 33.2% for 211 inherited runners. Within 158 save scenarios, the Red Sox have achieved 84 holds but have also recorded 28 blown saves.
Across 12,720 innings played, the Red Sox boast a defensive efficiency rating of 69.1% (21st in professional baseball). They have completed 126 double plays and currently hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). This season, the Red Sox have accumulated 1,434 assists, made 114 errors, and recorded 4,240 putouts.
Early (1-1 career record) has posted a 1.91 earned run average with an average of 8.3 hits allowed per nine innings. Boasting a K/BB ratio of 7.33, he has faced 59 batters in his career. He has allowed 3 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.135 and a FIP of 1.9. So far, Early has surrendered 13 hits and tallied 22 strikeouts over 14 innings.
Who will secure the victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Boston (-182)
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