- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: CLEGuardians.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+102), Cleveland (-122)
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In a thrilling face-off, the Cleveland Guardians (85-72) will host the Detroit Tigers (85-72) at Progressive Field this Thursday. The opening moneyline favors Detroit at +102, while Cleveland is set at -122. The total over/under stands at 8.5. The game will showcase pitchers Keider Montero and Parker Messick on the mound.
The Tigers have delivered 241 doubles and smashed 194 home runs this season. Their slugging percentage sits at .416, accompanied by 1,403 strikeouts and 493 walks. Overall, the Detroit Tigers average 4.8 runs per game, placing them 10th in the league. Throughout the season, they’ve tallied 711 RBIs and 1,307 hits, maintaining a batting average of .247 and an on-base percentage of .316.
The Tigers boast a K/BB ratio of 2.80 with a WHIP of 1.25. Their pitchers have conceded 184 home runs, allowing a total of 675 runs (ranked 15th in the league). They’ve given up 1,272 hits this season (averaging 8.2 per 9 innings) and allowed 616 earned runs. With a team ERA of 3.98 (16th in MLB), Detroit’s pitching attack has also recorded 1,328 strikeouts and issued 475 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.10 this season.
Detroit’s bullpen has achieved a save rate of 64.4%, participating in 134 save opportunities. Their relievers have inherited 247 base runners this year, with 28.3% crossing home plate. Tigers pitchers have faced runners in scoring positions 175 times, including 133 high-leverage appearances. This season, a total of 491 relief pitchers have been utilized, and the bullpen has secured 38 saves while missing 21 out of 59 chances.
The Colorado Rockies have accumulated 4,182 putouts thus far, alongside 1,347 assists and 76 errors. Holding stable at a .986 fielding percentage, they rank 12th in professional baseball and have registered 126 double plays. The Tigers have converted 70.2% of balls put into play into outs over their 12,546 innings, positioning them at 13th in the league.
Montero has pitched a total of 184 innings, achieving 142 strikeouts in his MLB journey. His earned run average stands at 4.64 (95 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.368. He has conceded 190 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 62 walks. Montero holds an 11-9 career win-loss record, with a FIP of 4.57 facing 783 batters in the majors.
The Cleveland Guardians currently maintain an on-base percentage of .297 and a batting average of .226 this season. They have struck out 1,299 times (18th in MLB) and amassed 1,164 hits. The Guardians have launched 163 home runs and produced 599 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is at .373, averaging 3.96 runs per game (27th in the league). They’ve hit 233 doubles and have walked 481 times, contributing to a total of 621 runs.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 627 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.69 (573 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 163 home runs, yielding 4.04 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Guardians’ pitching staff owns a WHIP of 1.267 and a FIP of 3.97. With a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (1,332 strikeouts against 517 walks), they rank 11th in the league for total hits conceded, giving up 1,252 hits.
The Guardians’ relievers have a 33.5% inherited score rate from their 200 inherited runners. Their relief corps has been called on 188 times in high-stakes situations, with 145 appearances involving runners on base. In 182 save situations, Cleveland has secured 110 holds, alongside 22 blown saves. Currently, they rank 4th in the league with a save rate of 68.1%, deploying 513 relievers this season. Cleveland’s bullpen has faced 69 save opportunities and achieved 47 saves.
The Cleveland Guardians have executed 120 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in professional baseball). They have compiled 1,294 assists, 96 errors, and 4,188 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.8% over 12,564 innings, ranking them 17th in the sport.
Messick (3-0 in his career) has posted a remarkable 2.11 ERA, allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings. With a K/BB ratio of 6.20, he has faced 142 batters during his MLB journey. He has conceded 8 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.316 and a FIP of 2.1. In 34 innings pitched, Messick has surrendered 40 hits while striking out 31 batters.
Who will emerge victorious in today’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Cleveland (-122)
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