Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies
Scheduled Date: Friday, August 1, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers (-150) Philadelphia Phillies (+125)
This Friday, the Philadelphia Phillies (61-47) will host the Detroit Tigers (64-46) at Citizens Bank Park. The betting line has Detroit favored at -150, while Philadelphia sits at +125. The game’s over/under is set at 8.5, featuring starting pitchers Jack Flaherty and Ranger Suarez.
The Tigers are boasting a slugging percentage of .421 this season, with 969 strikeouts and 342 walks recorded. They’ve amassed 512 runs batted in, along with 927 hits and a batting average of .250. Detroit has hit 174 doubles and 138 home runs, scoring 532 runs with an on-base percentage of .319. As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, placing them 6th in MLB.
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Detroit pitchers have compiled a 3.76 ERA (10th in MLB) and have struck out 939 batters this season. They’ve allowed 116 home runs and conceded 451 runs (11th in the league). The Tigers’ pitchers have issued 316 walks, finishing the season with a FIP of 3.81. They’ve given up 888 hits at a rate of 8.2 hits per nine innings, resulting in 407 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.97 with a collective WHIP of 1.23.
The Tigers’ bullpen has a save percentage of 66.7% from 97 save opportunities. They’ve inherited 167 runners this year, with 26.3% crossing home plate. The bullpen has entered with runners on base 121 times and made 89 appearances in high-leverage situations. A total of 342 relief pitchers have seen action this season. The bullpen earned 52 holds (23rd in MLB) and converted 28 saves out of 42 opportunities.
The Colorado Rockies have accumulated 2,926 putouts, 927 assists, and 54 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the league) with 85 double plays. The Tigers have successfully turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs during 8,778 innings, ranking 14th in MLB.
Flaherty holds a career record of 61-51 with a FIP of 3.68, having faced 3,901 professional hitters. He has allowed 785 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has issued 336 walks. His career ERA is 3.74 (390 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.195. Flaherty has thrown 938 innings and amassed 1,079 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a team on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .254 this season. They have struck out 862 times (20th in MLB) and accumulated 935 hits. Philadelphia has hit 126 home runs and recorded 481 RBIs, holding a team slugging percentage of .412 and averaging 4.67 runs per game (9th in the league). They’ve hit 174 doubles, drawn 370 walks, and scored 504 runs.
As a unit, the Phillies possess a WHIP of 1.258 and a FIP of 3.69. They rank 18th in MLB for total hits allowed (901). The Philadelphia pitching staff has conceded 437 runs, with a team ERA of 3.80 (406 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is impressive at 9.30 (993 strikeouts to 308 walks), having allowed 118 home runs and yielding 4.09 runs per nine innings (9th in MLB).
Philadelphia’s relievers have seen action in 44 save opportunities and have successfully converted 27 saves; their save percentage is currently 61.4%, placing them 18th in MLB. A total of 334 relief pitchers have taken the mound this season. The bullpen has faced 111 high-leverage situations, and 72 times with runners on base, inheriting 104 runners with a scoring rate of 32.7%. In 93 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 48 holds with 17 blown saves.
Defensively, the Philadelphia Phillies have turned 72 double plays and maintain an impressive fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in MLB), with 924 assists, 41 errors, and 2,884 putouts this season. Across 8,652 innings, they boast a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (24th in the league).
Suarez has allowed 657 hits over his career while striking out 644 batters in 697 innings. He has conceded 257 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.270 and a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.81, having faced 2,930 batters in his career. Suarez holds a 49-33 career record with a 3.32 ERA, surrendering 8.5 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Detroit (-150)
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