Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction for 7/23/2025: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction for 7/23/2025: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025

Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Betting Odds: Detroit (-130) vs Pittsburgh (+110)

Pittsburgh’s PNC Park will host a thrilling matchup as the Detroit Tigers (60-41) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-61) this Wednesday. With odds favoring the Tigers at -130 and the Pirates at +110, fans can expect a competitive game. The projected over/under is set at 8.5 runs, while Reese Olson and Bailey Falter are expected to be the starting pitchers.

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The Detroit Tigers are showcasing a robust offense, averaging 4.8 runs per game, earning them a commendable 6th place in the MLB rankings. Over the season, they’ve accumulated 485 runs, maintaining an on-base percentage of .322. The team has recorded 155 doubles and hit 125 home runs, achieving a total of 846 hits with a batting average of .249. Their slugging percentage stands at .417, with 882 strikeouts and 331 walks drawn throughout the season.

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The Tigers’ pitching staff showcases a K/BB ratio of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.22. Having allowed 106 home runs and 405 total runs (ranking 8th in the league), Detroit has given up 798 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 364 earned runs. The team’s ERA stands at 3.65 (8th in the league), with pitchers striking out 865 opponents. They have walked 292 batters, resulting in an FIP of 3.81.

With a save percentage of 66.7%, Tigers relievers have entered 95 save situations this season, inheriting 156 runners, 26.3% of whom have scored. The bullpen has made 86 high leverage appearances and sent 314 relievers to the mound. So far, they have secured 28 saves out of 42 opportunities, with 14 blown saves.

This season, the Tigers have tallied 2,689 putouts, 856 assists, and 47 errors, establishing a fielding percentage of .987, positioning them 11th in the league. They have successfully completed 80 double plays and have a defensive efficiency of 70.3%, ranking 13th in major league baseball.

Reese Olson has pitched 279 innings throughout his career, collecting 265 strikeouts. With a career record of 13-18, his FIP is 3.46, and he has faced 1,146 batters. Olson maintains an ERA of 3.52 (109 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.161, allowing 235 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) while walking 89 batters.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have recorded an on-base percentage of .300 and a batting average of .230 for the season. They rank 6th in the league with 881 strikeouts and have totaled 767 hits, including 66 home runs and 325 RBIs. The Pirates’ slugging percentage is .338, averaging 3.33 runs per game, placing them 30th in the league. They have also hit 133 doubles while drawing 313 walks and scoring 336 runs.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has surrendered 406 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.86 (381 earned runs). The Pirates have allowed 96 home runs, yielding 4.11 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). They maintain a WHIP of 1.215 and a FIP of 3.92 as a unit. Their K/BB ratio stands at 7.60 (754 strikeouts vs. 293 walks), ranking them 7th in MLB for hits allowed with 787.

In 83 save situations, the Pirates have recorded 45 holds and encountered 16 blown saves. Their relievers have been called upon in 36 save opportunities, achieving 20 saves. With 99 high leverage situations and 94 instances with runners on base, Pittsburgh’s relief pitchers have a 34.0% inherited scoring rate from 150 runners, placing them 25th in the league with a 55.6% save percentage, having dispatched 309 relief pitchers this season.

The Pirates have turned 79 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .987, 10th overall in professional baseball. With 866 assists, 46 errors, and 2,669 putouts this season, they have a defensive efficiency of 71.5%, ranking 3rd in the league.

Over his career, Bailey Falter has allowed 440 hits while striking out 326 batters in 441 innings pitched. He has given up 220 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.276 and a FIP of 4.40. His K/BB ratio is 2.65, with a career record of 24-28 and an earned run average of 4.49, allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will emerge victorious in this evening’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Pittsburgh (+110)

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