- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Betting Lines: Detroit (+106), San Diego (-128)
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On Saturday, the San Diego Padres (90-72 last season) aim to secure a victory against the Detroit Tigers (87-75 last year) at Petco Park. The current moneyline features Detroit at +106 and San Diego at -128, with a total set at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers are Jack Flaherty and Randy Vasquez.
In the previous season, the Detroit Tigers averaged 4.7 runs per game, placing them 11th in Major League Baseball. They scored a total of 758 runs while registering an on-base percentage of .316. As a team, the Tigers hit 244 doubles and homered 198 times, achieving 724 RBIs and accumulating 1,346 hits with a batting average of .247. Their slugging percentage reached .413, and they struck out 1,454 times while walking 511 times over the year.
The Tigers concluded the season with a team ERA of 3.95, ranking 16th in the league, and their pitchers struck out 1,375 batters. They allowed 187 home runs and a total of 691 runs scored against them, also ranking 16th in the league. The team walked 485 batters and posted a FIP of 4.05 last season. Detroit gave up 1,309 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs, culminating in a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and a team WHIP of 1.25.
Last season, the Tigers responded with 508 relief pitchers on the mound. Relief pitchers inherited 258 base runners, with 28.7% of them scoring. They achieved 40 saves out of 62 opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 64.5% across 142 save situations. The bullpen recorded 75 holds, placing them 26th in the league. Ultimately, the Tigers pitchers faced 182 instances with base runners aboard and participated in 140 high-leverage outings.
In the previous season, the Colorado Rockies completed 4,309 putouts, supplemented by 1,379 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage of .981 ranked 29th in the league, achieving 128 double plays. The Tigers successfully converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs over 12,927 innings, ranking them 13th in professional baseball.
Flaherty, with 990 career innings pitched, boasts 1,130 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average stands at 3.80 (418 earned runs) and his WHIP settles at 1.199. He has allowed 836 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and faced 351 walks. Flaherty holds a career record of 63-56 and a FIP of 3.74, encountering 4,120 batters in the majors.
Last season, the San Diego Padres hit 152 home runs and gathered 663 RBIs. They recorded 254 doubles, walked 510 times, and collectively scored 702 runs. The Padres finished with an OBP of .321 and a team batting average of .252. With a slugging percentage of .390, they averaged 4.33 runs per game, placing them 18th in the league. They were struck out 1,161 times (28th in the league) and achieved a total of 1,369 hits.
On the pitching side, the Padres ended the previous season with a team WHIP of 1.209 and a FIP of 4.02. They topped the league by yielding the fewest hits, totaling 1,197. The Padres’ pitching corps conceded 621 runs with a team ERA of 3.63 (578 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio was an impressive 8.90, with 1,425 strikeouts and 535 walks. They allowed 178 home runs and averaged 3.90 runs per 9 innings, ranking 2nd in the league.
The Padres faced 174 save situations last season, registering 104 holds and 16 blown saves. They had relief pitchers appear in 65 save opportunities, converting 49 saves. Their relievers were involved in 209 high-leverage situations and faced runners on base 185 times. San Diego pitchers had a rate of 29.3% inherited scoring percentage for their 263 inherited base runners. They secured a leading 75.4% save percentage and utilized 577 relief pitchers last season.
From their 12,897 innings played, the Padres registered a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (3rd in professional baseball). They turned 117 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in the league). San Diego tallied 1,234 assists, 74 errors, and accounted for 4,299 putouts over the last season.
Vasquez, with a career record of 12-16, owns a 4.09 earned run average while allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.75 and has faced 1,167 opposing batters throughout his career. He has conceded a total of 122 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.390 and a FIP of 4.0. In his professional career, Vasquez has allowed 274 base hits and recorded 173 strikeouts across 268 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Detroit (+106)
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