- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners
- Date: Friday, October 10, 2025
- Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Detroit (-135) Seattle (+115)
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On Friday, October 10, 2025, T-Mobile Park will host the Seattle Mariners (90-72) in a critical Game 5 showdown against the Detroit Tigers (87-75) during the ALDS. The moneyline favors Detroit at -135, while Seattle opens at +115. The game’s total is set at 7 runs, with expected starters Tarik Skubal for the Tigers and George Kirby for the Mariners.
The Detroit Tigers boast an offensive output of 4.7 runs per game, ranking 11th in the league. They have amassed a total of 758 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .316. The Tigers have recorded 244 doubles and hit 198 home runs throughout the season. They’ve tallied 724 RBIs and 1,346 hits with a batting average of .247. Detroit’s slugging percentage stands at .413, having struck out 1,454 times while drawing 511 walks.
The Tigers currently maintain a team ERA of 3.95 (16th in MLB) and have struck out 1,375 hitters. The pitching staff has given up 187 home runs and 691 runs total (ranked 16th league-wide). They’ve issued 485 walks, with a FIP of 4.05 for the season. Detroit has allowed 1,309 hits (averaging 8.2 hits per 9 innings) and accumulated 630 earned runs. The K/BB ratio stands at 2.84, and the collective WHIP is at 1.25.
This season, the Tigers have utilized 508 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 258 base runners, with 28.7% scoring. They have secured 40 saves out of 62 chances, resulting in a save percentage of 64.5%. The Tigers’ bullpen has recorded 75 holds this season (26th in MLB). They have entered games with runners on base 182 times and made 140 appearances in high-leverage situations.
Turning balls in play into outs, the Tigers have achieved 70.2% efficiency across 12,927 innings, placing them 13th in professional baseball. The Colorado Rockies have tallied 4,309 putouts, 1,379 assists, and committed 79 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball) while completing 128 double plays.
Skubal has taken the mound for 766 innings, with a career total of 889 strikeouts. He holds a career ERA of 3.08 (allowing 262 ER) and a WHIP of 1.026. Having surrendered 614 hits (averaging 7.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 172 walks, Skubal’s career record is 54-37, with a FIP of 3.03 against 3,056 opposing batters.
The Seattle Mariners feature an OBP of .320 along with a team batting average of .244 this season. They have struck out 1,446 times (6th in the league) and recorded 1,345 total hits. Throughout the year, Seattle has hit 238 home runs and tallied 734 RBIs, resulting in a slugging percentage of .420. They score an average of 4.73 runs per game, ranking 10th in MLB, and have achieved 234 doubles, with 544 walks this season.
Defensively, the Mariners have allowed 694 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.87 (629 earned runs). Their pitchers have given up 192 home runs and average 4.27 runs per nine innings (13th in MLB). Seattle’s team WHIP stands at 1.221, with a FIP of 3.98 for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80, marked by 1,426 strikeouts against 454 walks. They rank 15th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,331 this season.
This season, the Mariners have completed 159 save situations, recording 90 holds and 26 blown saves. They’ve had relief pitchers on the mound for 69 save opportunities, successfully converting 43 into saves. Seattle’s bullpen has appeared 216 times in high-leverage situations and 132 times with runners on base. They report an inherited score percentage of 25.2% for 147 inherited runners and rank 19th in MLB with a save rate of 62.3%, using 550 bullpen pitchers this season.
The Mariners have executed 118 double plays with a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). They have achieved 1,355 assists, made 69 errors, and recorded a total of 4,388 putouts this season. Across 13,164 innings, the Mariners maintain a defensive efficiency rating of 70.3% (12th in baseball).
Kirby, with a career record of 45-34, maintains a 3.59 ERA, allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings pitched. He has a K/BB ratio of 6.68, having faced 2,601 batters during his career. Kirby has given up a total of 254 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.113, and a FIP of 3.5. In his professional career, Kirby has allowed 616 hits while accumulating 621 strikeouts in 637 innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Detroit (-135)
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