Diego Pavia Prop Bets for Today Against Alabama Crimson Tide 10/4/2025

• Matchup: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide
• Passing Yards Prop: 170 – Over (-145) Under (+110)
• Completions Prop: 18.5 – Over (-111) Under (-115)
• Attempts Prop: 25 – Over (-118) Under (-104)

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The Vanderbilt Commodores, featuring quarterback Diego Pavia, are set to face the Alabama Crimson Tide on ABC on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Prop bets include 19 pass completions, 25 pass attempts, and 170 passing yards for Pavia.

Diego Pavia Season Performance

Pavia has shown impressive dual-threat capabilities, averaging 9.6 rushing attempts and throwing for 2.6 touchdowns per game. He has accumulated 294 rushing yards and boasts an average of 242.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, he has produced 42 passing first downs, averaging 25.2 attempts per game with a completion rate of 74.6%. So far this season, Pavia has amassed 1,211 passing yards and ranks 49th in college football for touchdown percentage at 10.3%. He averages 18.8 completions per game, with a total of 13 passing touchdowns, placing him 59th nationally.

Diego Pavia Last 5 Games

In his recent five games, Pavia has maintained an average of 18.8 completions per game, delivering 126 passing attempts. He has successfully completed 57 first downs and averages 2.6 passing touchdowns per game. Pavia has not thrown any rushing touchdowns recently, finishing with an average of 242.2 passing yards per contest. He has recorded a total of 13 passing touchdowns in this stretch and averages 0.6 interceptions per game, with a 2.4% interception rate during this period, while also achieving about 11.3 first downs through the air.

Diego Pavia Last 10 Games

Pavia has achieved a passing completion rate of 63.5% over his last ten games. He has made 241 passing attempts and averages 2.0 passing touchdowns, alongside 197.0 passing yards per game. His completion average per game stands at 15.3. He has recorded 20 passing touchdowns overall, scoring on 8.3% of his attempts, and has achieved 108 first downs through the air. In these ten matchups, he has completed 153 passes and has a 1.7% interception rate, along with a very low sack rate and no rushing touchdowns.

Diego Pavia Career Numbers

Pavia has totaled 23 rushing touchdowns and 72 passing touchdowns in his career. He has a low interception percentage of 2.2% and has accumulated 441 first downs through passing. His average passing yards stand at 176.2 per game, successfully completing 60.5% of his attempted throws, with a touchdown rate of 7.3%. He has attempted 980 passes overall with 22 interceptions and has been sacked on 4.0% of his attempts.

Vanderbilt Commodores Offense Overview

The Commodores have an average of 223.4 rushing yards per game with a total of 102 completions, placing them 18th in Division I. They rank 10th in the nation for touchdown rate at 9.8% this season. With a total of 2,472 yards, the Commodores hold the 14th position in college football, with an interception rate of 2.1%. They average 271.0 passing yards per game, ranking 31st, and amass an average of 28.6 passing attempts and 494.4 combined yards per game, placing them at 82nd overall.

Alabama Crimson Tide Defense Analysis

The Crimson Tide have allowed 43 passing completions and are giving up 1.5 rushing touchdowns along with 37.0 rushing attempts per game. Additionally, they have surrendered 214 penalty yards and 0.5 aerial touchdowns per game. For the season, Alabama has a 62.4% rate in preventing opposing teams from completing passes. They are also allowing 160.5 rushing yards per game and have given up 2 passing touchdowns. In terms of pass defense, they are positioned 16th in Division I with an interception rate of 4.6%, allowing only 113.5 passing yards per game while conceding 642 rushing yards, ranking 2nd in college football.

Recommendation: Bet the Under on Pass Yards (+110)