Drew Dober vs Michael Johnson Prediction and Odds for UFC 326 on 03/07/2026

Home » Drew Dober vs Michael Johnson Prediction and Odds for UFC 326 on 03/07/2026

  • Drew Dober vs Michael Johnson Preview
  • UFC 326 Event Details
  • T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

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In an exciting matchup, Drew Dober is set to face Michael Johnson at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. Both fighters are currently listed with matching odds at -110, making for a closely contested bout.

Drew Dober enters the Octagon with a professional record of 28 wins, 15 losses, and 0 draws (1 No Contest). The 37-year-old fighter competes at 155 lbs and stands 5’8″ tall, boasting a reach of 70 inches. On the other side, Michael “The Menace” Johnson has a record of 25 wins, 19 losses, and 0 draws at the same weight class. Johnson, aged 39, measures in at 5’10” and has a wingspan of 73 inches. In terms of striking, Dober averages 4.52 significant strikes per minute, while Johnson averages 4.28. The accuracy rates show Dober connecting at 41% and Johnson at 39%. Defensively, Dober absorbs 4.34 significant strikes per minute, whereas Johnson absorbs 3.79 strikes, with Dober defending 52% of strikes and Johnson able to defend 58%.

Drew Dober UFC
UFC 326 Stats Drew Dober Michael Johnson
Opening Odds -110 -110
Current Record 28-15-0 (1 NC) 25-19-0
Average Fight Duration 7:58 11:37
Height 5’8″ 5’10”
Weight Class 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 70″ 73″
Strikes Landed per Minute 4.52 4.28
Striking Accuracy 41% 39%

When it comes to grappling, Drew Dober displays a stronger wrestling game, averaging 0.63 takedowns every 15 minutes. He completes 16% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 58% of the takedowns his opponents initiate. Meanwhile, Johnson completes 38% of his takedown attempts and defends 81% of his opponent’s takedowns. Additionally, Dober averages 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds compared to Johnson’s 0.5 submissions.

In his previous fight, Dober faced Kyle Prepolec, securing a victory with a knockout in the third round. Prepolec managed to land 51 of 164 total strikes during the match, while Dober successfully connected with 85 of 163 strikes. Dober’s significant strikes landed included 83 out of 161 attempts, achieving a 51% accuracy rate. All of Dober’s fight strikes were primarily delivered at distance.

Michael Johnson also enjoyed recent success, winning by unanimous decision against Daniel Zellhuber. In this bout, Johnson was impressive, landing 80 of 195 significant strikes, with a 41% hit rate, while Zellhuber landed 52 of 182 significant strikes. Notably, both fighters demonstrated high accuracy from a distance, with Johnson matching Zellhuber’s 96% connection rate for distance strikes.

Key Fights to Watch Out For

Another matchup to keep an eye on includes Gregory Rodrigues squaring off against Brunno Ferreira. Rodrigues, with a record of 18-6-0, weighs 185 lbs and stands at 6’3″. The 34-year-old orthodox fighter has a reach of 75 inches. Ferreira, also fighting in the 185 lbs class, possesses a record of 15-2-0 and is 5’10” tall with a reach of 72 inches. In grappling, Rodrigues averages 1.93 takedowns per 3 rounds, while Ferreira averages 1.29 takedowns per 15 minutes. Rodrigues strikes at a high volume, connecting with 5.60 strikes per minute and maintaining a 51% accuracy rate, while Ferreira hits 3.85 strikes per minute at 50% accuracy.

Another bout worth noting features Xiao Long against Cody Garbrandt. The 34-year-old Garbrandt, recording 14-7-0, will weigh in at 135 lbs and stands 5’8″ tall. Meanwhile, Long, who is 27 years old and 5’8″, holds a 27-10-0 record. Notably, Garbrandt successfully defends against 83% of his opponents’ takedowns and completes them on 27% of attempts, contrasting with Long’s 25% completion rate and 79% defense against takedowns. When exchanging strikes, Garbrandt absorbs 3.64 strikes per minute while delivering 2.88, while Long conversely takes 4.20 strikes per minute but lands 5.25.

Who do you think will come out on top in this highly anticipated UFC showdown?

Prediction: Bet on Michael Johnson (-110)

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Pick: Michael Johnson (-110)
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