Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev Predictions, UFC 319 Odds for 08/16/2025

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Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev

UFC 319

United Center in Chicago

Saturday, August 16, 2025

On Saturday, August 16, 2025, Dricus Du Plessis is set to clash with Khamzat Chimaev in a highly anticipated matchup at UFC 319. The betting lines show Plessis at +180 and Chimaev at -210.

Dricus “Stillknocks” Du Plessis enters the Octagon boasting a record of 23 wins and 2 losses. At 31 years old, he competes at a weight of 185 lbs, standing 6’1″ tall with a reach of 76 inches. Khamzat “Borz” Chimaev, also 31, stands at 6’2″ and weighs in at 185 lbs, holding an unblemished record of 14-0-0. Chimaev has a reach of 75 inches. In terms of striking, Du Plessis averages 6.12 significant strikes landed per minute, while Chimaev lands 5.36. Du Plessis has a striking accuracy of 48%, whereas Chimaev boasts 58%. On the defensive front, “Stillknocks” absorbs 4.90 significant strikes per minute, compared to Chimaev’s 3.25. Du Plessis defends against 54% of the strikes targeted at him, while Chimaev successfully defends 41% of incoming attempts.

UFC predictions for Dricus Du Plessis and Khamzat Chimaev best bets

 

UFC 319 Dricus Du Plessis Khamzat Chimaev
Opening Odds +180 -210
Record 23-2-0 14-0-0
Average Fight Time 13:45 6:05
Height 6’1″ 6’2″
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 76″ 75″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.12 5.36
Striking Accuracy 48% 58%

In terms of wrestling, Du Plessis averages 2.55 takedowns every 15 minutes but has a finishing rate of 50% on those attempts, successfully defending against 50% of his opponents’ takedown attempts. Chimaev, on the other hand, finishes 46% of his takedown attempts and defends against a remarkable 90% of his opponents’ efforts. When it comes to submissions, Du Plessis averages 0.7 submissions per three rounds, while Chimaev boasts a significantly higher 2.8 submissions per three rounds.

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In his latest bout, Dricus Du Plessis faced Sean Strickland and secured a unanimous decision victory in round 5. Strickland managed to land 128 of 263 total strikes, while Plessis hit 149 of 316. Notably, Strickland’s significant strikes accounted for 128 of his total at a 48% accuracy rate, landing 90 of 212 aimed at the head. Plessis achieved a 46% accuracy rate, connecting on 147 of 314 significant strikes, including 50 out of 193 aimed at the head. All significant strikes from both fighters were executed at a distance.

 

Khamzat Chimaev’s most recent fight was against Robert Whittaker, where he won by rear-naked choke in the first round. Whittaker successfully landed 100% of his significant strikes while Chimaev struggled with distance strikes, achieving 0%. However, Chimaev connected on 75% of his total significant strikes, landing 3 out of 4 attempts and 2 out of 3 aimed at the head. Whittaker also managed to connect on both of his significant strikes during the match. Overall, Chimaev landed 25 out of 31 total strikes attempted.

Notable Upcoming Fights

Another exciting matchup to watch is Geoff Neal squaring off against Carlos Prates. Neal brings a record of 16-6-0 to the bout, standing 5’11” tall and fighting at 170 lbs. The left-handed competitor has a reach of 75″. In contrast, Prates stands at 6’1″ and weighs in at 170 lbs, aiming to improve his record of 21-7-0 with a reach of 78″. In grappling statistics, Neal averages 0.56 takedowns every three rounds, while Prates manages 0.25 takedowns every 15 minutes. Neal also boasts an average of 5.05 strikes landed per minute, achieving a 51% accuracy rate. Prates connects on 54% of his strikes, averaging 3.60 per minute.

Another anticipated matchup features Michael Page facing off against Jared Cannonier. Cannonier, holding a record of 18-8-0, measures at 5’11” and weighs 185 lbs with a reach of 77″. Page, at 6’3″ and 185 lbs, enters the fight with an impressive 23-3-0 record and a reach of 79″. In grappling terms, Cannonier successfully defends against 64% of takedowns and takes opponents down 44% of the time. Page finishes 20% of his takedown attempts while defending against 63% of opponents’ takedowns. Striking wise, Cannonier exchanges 4.49 strikes per minute while landing 4.60, whereas Page absorbs only 1.78 strikes per minute and lands 2.53.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC showdown against the spread?

Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Bet on Dricus Du Plessis (+180)

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