Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam Predictions, UFC Vegas 115 Odds for 04/04/2026

• Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam
• UFC Vegas 115
• Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV
• Saturday, April 4, 2026

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This April 4, 2026, Ethyn Ewing will clash with Rafael Estevam at UFC Vegas 115. The betting line currently favors Ewing at -142, while Estevam is positioned at +122.

Ethyn “The Professor Finesser” Ewing seeks to enhance his record of 9 wins and 2 losses. At 30 years old, he weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5’6″ tall, boasting an impressive reach of 69″. Rafael “Macapa” Estevam, on the other hand, stands at 5’8″ and matches Ewing’s weight at 135 lbs. Estevam has an undefeated record of 14-0-0 and also shares a reach of 69″. In terms of striking, Ewing lands an impressive 5.67 significant strikes per minute, while Estevam averages 2.10. Ewing has a striking accuracy rate of 52%, whereas Estevam has a slight edge with 54%. On defense, Ewing allows 5.13 significant strikes per minute and defends 47% of strikes aimed at him, while Estevam allows only 2.59 per minute and deflects 47% of incoming attacks.

In the realm of grappling, Ethyn Ewing shows less proficiency, managing just 3.00 takedowns over three rounds, scoring on 60% of his attempts while successfully defending against all takedown efforts. In contrast, Rafael Estevam finishes 38% of his takedown tries and defends 66% of the attempts directed at him. When it comes to submissions, Ewing has the advantage, attempting 0.8 submissions every three rounds, compared to Estevam’s 0.3 attempts per 15 minutes.

In his most recent Octagon appearance, Ethyn Ewing faced Malcolm Wellmaker, securing the victory via unanimous decision in the third round. Wellmaker connected on 82 of 151 total strikes, while Ewing landed 99 of 179 strikes thrown. In terms of significant strikes, Wellmaker landed 77 out of 146 attempts, achieving a 52% accuracy rate, with 35 of his significant strikes aimed at the head. Ewing managed to connect 52% of his significant strikes, totaling 85 of 163 attempts, with 70 out of 147 significant strikes aimed at the head – 68% of Wellmaker’s and 78% of Ewing’s strikes were executed from a distance.

In Rafael Estevam’s latest fight, he went up against Felipe Bunes, winning by unanimous decision in round 3. Bunes boasted an impressive 96% accuracy on his distance strikes, while Estevam landed 75% of his. Estevam registered 47% of his significant strikes, landing 33 out of 70 attempts, with 22 directed at the head, while Bunes managed to land 26 of 56 significant strikes in the bout. Across all strikes thrown, Estevam connected on 128 of 204 total strikes.

Key Matches to Watch

Don’t miss the thrilling matchup between Tommy McMillen and Manolo Zecchini. McMillen, boasting an undefeated record of 9-0-0, weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 6’0″ tall with a reach of 74″. Zecchini, at 5’8″ and weighing 145 lbs, aims to improve his record to 11-4-0. In their striking exchanges, McMillen lands a remarkable 7.53 strikes per minute with a 51% accuracy, while Zecchini connects on only 2.34 strikes per minute at 21% accuracy.

If you’re tuning in to the fights, watch as Robert Ruchala takes on Jose Delano. Delano comes to the Octagon with a 16-3-0 record, standing 5’8″ tall and weighing 145 lbs, with a reach of 70″. Ruchala, at 5’8″ and 145 lbs, looks to enhance his own record of 11-2-0 with a reach of 72″. In terms of grappling, Delano successfully halts 60% of takedown attempts against him, but he himself has not completed any takedowns. Ruchala, on the other hand, completes 33% of his takedown attempts but is unsuccessful in defending against any takedown attempts. Striking-wise, Delano absorbs 2.53 strikes per minute while landing an impressive 9.73. Conversely, Ruchala endures 3.27 strikes per minute and returns 2.27 strikes.

Who will emerge victorious tonight in this UFC matchup?

Prediction: Bet on Rafael Estevam (+122)