Florida State Seminoles vs Dayton Flyers Game Prediction for 12/16/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Florida State Seminoles vs Dayton Flyers Game Prediction for 12/16/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Florida State Seminoles vs Dayton Flyers
  • Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
  • Venue: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Florida State Seminoles, currently at a record of 5-5, are set to travel to UD Arena this Tuesday to face off against the Dayton Flyers, who hold an 8-3 record.

College basketball predictions for Florida State Seminoles vs Dayton Flyers

In their previous outing, Florida State faced UMass and unfortunately fell 103-95. Both teams committed 20 fouls, with Florida State making 12 of their 22 attempts from deep. UMass excelled at the free-throw line, converting 15 of 21 for a 71.4% success rate. They secured 31 rebounds, which included 11 offensive boards, but did not register any blocks. The Minutemen provided 23 assists and achieved 8 steals throughout the game. Defensively, Florida State allowed UMass to shoot 53.5% from the field on 38 of 71 attempts. The Seminoles also managed 19 assists and forced 13 turnovers, resulting in 7 steals. Rebounding-wise, they collected a total of 36, with 13 from the offensive end. From the free-throw line, Florida State converted 19 of 23 attempts for an impressive 82.6% rate, finishing the game with a field goal percentage of 44.4% (32 out of 72) and hitting 12 of their 41 three-point attempts.

Contributing significantly was Robert McCray V, who shot at 56.3% from the floor, tallied 11 assists, grabbed 8 rebounds, and scored 21 points on 9 of 16 shooting over 35 minutes of play.

The Seminoles have a current season record of 5-5, averaging 85.3 points per game (ranked 62nd in Division I) while shooting 42.0% from the field. From three-point range, they are hitting 31.3% (116 of 371) and are at 70.1% on free-throws. Florida State averages 38.2 rebounds per game and has compiled 164 assists this season, ranking 130th nationwide. They average 12.5 turnovers and are committing 19.6 fouls per game.

On defense, the Seminoles force 18.4 turnovers per contest while averaging 18.6 fouls. They rank 276th nationally for assists allowed, conceding 162 assists this season. The team is allowing a 44.8% field goal percentage (279 out of 623) and surrendering 42.3 rebounds per game. Opponents are shooting 35.7% from three-point range, as Florida State ranks 325th for points allowed per game (80.9).

In their latest match, the Dayton Flyers secured a convincing win against North Florida, finishing 84-61. Rebounding stats showed Dayton allowing 32 total rebounds (10 offensive) for North Florida. The Flyers made 8 out of 29 from beyond the arc for a 27.6% shooting rate and shot 68.8% from the free-throw line, sinking 11 of 16 attempts. North Florida managed to score on 21 of 62 attempts, equating to a 33.9% shooting percentage. Dayton’s overall shooting was effective, going 34 for 65 from the field for a percentage of 52.3%. From three-point range, they connected on 27.6%, making 8 shots out of 29. The Flyers faced 18 fouls in the game, resulting in 17 free-throw attempts. They turned over the ball 9 times while achieving 11 steals total and secured a total of 39 rebounds (27 defensive, 12 offensive).

De’Shayne Montgomery stood out for the Flyers, contributing 23 points in just 21 minutes without any assists. He recorded a remarkable field goal percentage of 90.0%, hitting 9 of 10 shots while grabbing 2 rebounds.

Dayton’s current record is 8-3 for the season. They commit an average of 16.7 fouls per game and are at 70.9% from the line. The Flyers dish out 15.1 assists per game (ranking 151st nationally) and turn over the ball 11.9 times per game. Offensively, they have scored a total of 877 points this season, averaging 79.7 points per game and collecting 33.5 rebounds on average. The Flyers’ shooting success from the floor stands at 46.6%, which ranks 136th in Division I.

Defensively, Dayton ranks 124th in the nation for points allowed, giving up 71.0 per game. They force an average of 17.5 turnovers each game while allowing opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field (224th in college basketball). Dayton’s defense allows 38.6% shootings from three-point range and opponents have converted 70.4% of their free throw attempts. They give up 12.9 assists and 35.0 rebounds on average, placing them at 153rd and 205th respectively in those defensive categories.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Take Dayton

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Pick: Dayton Flyers
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