- Matchup: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Broncos favored by 17.5 points
- Total Points Over/Under: 51
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The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) are set to face off against the Boise State Broncos (6-2) at Albertsons Stadium on Saturday, November 1, 2025. The Broncos enter the game as 17.5-point favorites according to betting lines. The total points over/under is set at 51.
The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 5-3. In their most recent game, Fresno State faced the San Diego State Aztecs and suffered a defeat, finishing at 23-0. The Bulldogs managed to run the ball 23 times for just 45 yards, averaging a mere 2.0 yards per carry. In total, they executed 65 plays and garnered 227 yards. Fresno State’s defense allowed 11 completions on 19 attempts, yielding 124 passing yards, with a completion rate of 57.9%. On the ground, the Bulldogs surrendered 208 yards on 46 carries, averaging 4.5 yards per rush.
In scoring terms, the Fresno State Bulldogs average 25.6 points per game. They hold an average of 149.6 rushing yards, placing them 76th in Division 1. For the season, Fresno State has accumulated a total of 2,907 yards and successfully scored 10 passing touchdowns along with 13 rushing touchdowns. The Bulldogs have notched 162 first downs but have also recorded 51 penalties for 489 yards and turned the ball over 16 times.
Defensively, Fresno State has given up 1,457 passing yards, ranking them 26th in the nation. They allow an average of 182.1 passing yards per game and have a completion percentage against of 63.6%. Total yardage against them sits at 314.4 yards per contest, also ranking them 26th nationally. They have permitted 15 passing touchdowns along with 6 touchdowns on the ground, yielding an average of 4.0 yards per carry and 132.3 rushing yards per contest, amounting to 1,058 rushing yards allowed over the season. The Bulldogs rank 62nd regarding opponent scoring, allowing 23.6 points per game.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 6-2 record this season. In their last outing, they secured a convincing victory against the Nevada Wolf Pack, winning 24-3. Boise State’s defense limited the Wolf Pack to 22 rushing attempts for 101 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per rush. In terms of passing defense, they allowed a completion rate of 58.1%, yielding 148 yards on 18 of 31 attempts. The Broncos accumulated 310 total yards while running 75 plays, averaging 4.1 yards per play. For rushing, Boise State averaged 2.9 yards per carry, with a total of 136 yards on 47 carries.
When it comes to offensive production, the Broncos rank 29th nationally, averaging 35.3 points per game. Boise State rakes in an impressive 457.5 yards per game, placing them 23rd in the country. Their offense has incurred 483 penalty yards from 59 infractions, ranking 18th nationally in this category. They’ve thrown 7 interceptions and lost 4 fumbles, generating a total of 188 first downs. This season, they have accrued 2,085 passing yards, averaging 260.6 passing yards per game, sitting 37th in college football. On the ground, they average 196.9 yards per game, with 1,575 rushing yards amassed thus far.
Defensively, the Broncos have allowed 23.3 points per game, positioning them 58th in the nation. They have given up a total of 1,222 rushing yards (152.8 yards per game) and 13 rushing touchdowns this season. Through the air, they have allowed 10 touchdowns, ranking 28th in total passing yards allowed at 184.5 yards per game. Boise State’s defense has been active, participating in 484 plays, which ranks 47th in Division 1. Their defensive stats include recovering 5 fumbles and 11 interceptions, with a total of 186 points allowed for the season.
Who will prevail in this showdown between the Bulldogs and Broncos against the spread?
Expert’s Prediction: Bet on the Broncos -17.5
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