Fresno State Bulldogs vs Colorado State Rams Prediction for 3/11/2026 College Basketball, Best Bets and Odds

Home » Fresno State Bulldogs vs Colorado State Rams Prediction for 3/11/2026 College Basketball, Best Bets and Odds

  • Matchup: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Colorado State Rams
  • Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
  • Venue: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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This Wednesday, the Fresno State Bulldogs (13-18) will challenge the Colorado State Rams (20-11) at the Thomas & Mack Center during the Mountain West Tournament.

College Basketball Predictions for Fresno State Bulldogs

In their recent game, the Fresno State Bulldogs faced Grand Canyon and succumbed to defeat with a score of 85-60. The Bulldogs finished with 15 personal fouls, while Grand Canyon had 16. From beyond the arc, Fresno State managed to make 11 of 29 attempts. Grand Canyon excelled at the free throw line, hitting 10 of 11 attempts for a 90.9% success rate. On the boards, Grand Canyon secured 39 rebounds (9 offensive, 30 defensive) without any blocks. They also tallied 23 assists and 13 steals. Defensively, Fresno State allowed a shooting percentage of 49.2%, as Grand Canyon connected on 32 of 65 shots. The Bulldogs recorded 7 assists, forced 10 turnovers, and made 3 steals while they collected a total of 29 rebounds, including 7 offensive. From the charity stripe, Fresno State made 11 of 15 free throw attempts, equating to a 73.3% success rate. Overall, the Bulldogs ended the game with a field goal percentage of 36.7% (22 of 60) and converted only 5 of their 23 attempts from distance.

A key contributor for the Bulldogs was Wilson Jacques, who scored 15 points on 6 of 15 shooting. He played 34 minutes and grabbed 8 rebounds, finishing with a shooting percentage of 40.0% and no assists.

Entering this game, Fresno State holds a record of 13-18 for the season. They average 12.6 turnovers and commit 16.7 personal fouls per game. As a team, Fresno State collects 34.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 397 assists this season, ranking 277th nationally in assists. The Bulldogs convert 32.1% of their 3-point attempts (231 of 720) and are successful 74.2% of the time at the free throw line. They average 73.2 points per game (255th in D-1) on 44.5% shooting from the field.

Defensively, the Bulldogs force 12.8 turnovers per game and draw an average of 18.3 personal fouls. They allow opposing teams to shoot 30.1% on 3-point attempts and are 153rd in points allowed per game (73.0). Fresno State’s defense permits a field goal percentage of 44.3% (817 out of 1,843) and surrenders an average of 35.2 rebounds per game. They rank 158th in college basketball in assists allowed, with a total of 410 over the season.

In their last outing, the Colorado State Rams fell to Boise State with a score of 78-67. The Rams permitted Boise State to grab 36 rebounds in total, including 13 offensive boards. Colorado State made 31.6% of their 3-point attempts, going 6 for 19 and converting 20 of 25 free throw attempts for an 80.0% accuracy. Boise State shot 51.0% overall, hitting 26 of 51 attempts. In comparison, Colorado State made 26 of 52 shots, resulting in a shooting accuracy of 50.0%. They struggled from the 3-point line, making just 6 of 20 attempts (30.0%) and had a free throw rate of 64.3% from 9 successful attempts. Boise State committed 16 fouls during the game, putting Colorado State at the line for a total of 14 attempts. The Rams turned the ball over 7 times while also recording 7 steals. They collected 15 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds, totaling 19 for the game.

Jase Butler made a contribution for the Rams, scoring 15 points in 37 minutes played, finishing with 2 assists. He shot 50.0%, going 4 of 8, and added 5 rebounds.

The Colorado State Rams are currently 20-11 for the season. They have averaged 16.6 personal fouls per game and boast a free throw percentage of 77.0%. They achieve 16.0 assists per game (63rd in D-1) while averaging 11.8 turnovers. Colorado State has scored 2,381 points this year, equating to an average of 76.8 points per game, alongside an average of 32.1 rebounds per contest. Offensively, the Rams rank 17th in college basketball, shooting 49.8% from the field.

On defense, Colorado State allows opponents to shoot 34.4% from three-point range (259 of 753) while permitting 70.1% shooting from the free throw line. They average 11.9 assists and 29.2 rebounds allowed per game, ranking them 61st and 6th in those categories. In terms of points per game allowed, the Rams rank 112th in the nation with 71.4. They force an average of 9.8 turnovers each game and allow opponents to shoot 45.3% from the field (251st in D-1).

Who will come out on top in tonight’s NCAA matchup?

Prediction: Pick Colorado State

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Pick: Colorado State Rams
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