Geoff Neal vs Carlos Prates
UFC 319
Venue: United Center, Chicago
Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
In an exciting matchup at UFC 319, Geoff Neal will face Carlos Prates on Saturday, August 16, 2025. Current betting odds show Neal at +210 and Prates at -250.
Known as “Handz of Steel,” Geoff Neal enters this fight with a professional record of 16 wins and 6 losses. The 34-year-old competitor fights in the welterweight division at 170 pounds, standing at 5’11” tall with a reach of 75 inches. Meanwhile, Carlos “The Nightmare” Prates, aged 31, stands at 6’1″ and also weighs 170 pounds. Prates is looking to improve his record to 22 victories against 7 losses, boasting a reach of 78 inches. In terms of striking, Neal averages 5.05 significant strikes per minute, while Prates lands 3.60. Neal has a striking accuracy of 51%, and Prates hits at 54%. Defensively, Neal absorbs 5.44 strikes per minute while Prates faces 4.79, with Neal successfully defending against 57% of incoming strikes compared to Prates’ 48%.

UFC 319 | Geoff Neal | Carlos Prates |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | +210 | -250 |
Record | 16-6-0 | 21-7-0 |
Average Fight Time | 10:14 | 9:49 |
Height | 5’11” | 6’1″ |
Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
Reach | 75″ | 78″ |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.05 | 3.60 |
Striking Accuracy | 51% | 54% |
When it comes to grappling, Geoff Neal showcases superior wrestling skills, landing takedowns at a rate of 0.56 per 15 minutes. He completes 50% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 87% of the attempts against him. In comparison, Carlos Prates has a takedown success rate of 90% and successfully defends against 83% of takedown attempts. Regarding submissions, Neal averages 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes, while Prates attempts 0.8 submissions per three rounds.
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In his most recent Octagon appearance, Geoff Neal faced Rafael Dos Anjos and claimed victory via TKO in the first round. Anjos managed to land 4 out of 13 total strikes in the contest, while Neal hit 21 of 34 total strikes. In significant strikes, Anjos connected on 4 of 13, yielding a 30% accuracy rate. Neal showcased effectiveness, landing 60% of his significant strikes by successfully connecting on 18 out of 30 attempts. Most of their significant strikes from both fighters were at a distance, with Anjos landing all his and 72% of Neal’s also counted from afar.
Carlos Prates’ last Octagon fight was against Ian Machado Garry, where he lost by unanimous decision in the fifth round. Garry exhibited remarkable precision, landing 95% of his significant strikes from distance, while Prates achieved 79% accuracy at range. Prates was successful on 48% of his significant strike attempts, tallying 63 out of 129 landed. Garry, in contrast, connected on 126 out of 242 significant strikes, highlighting Prates’ challenge in that matchup.
Other Fights to Watch
Another significant bout on the card features Jared Cannonier against Michael Page. Cannonier enters this fight with a record of 18-8-0, weighing in at 185 lbs and measuring 5’11”. The switch fighter possesses a wingspan of 77 inches. Page stands at 6’3″ and also weighs 185 lbs. He holds an impressive record of 23-3-0. In terms of grappling, Cannonier averages 0.46 takedowns per 3 rounds while Page averages 0.30 per 15 minutes. On the striking front, Cannonier lands 4.60 strikes per minute with 50% accuracy, while Page connects on 62% of his strikes, averaging 2.53 strikes landed per minute.
Also on the card, Kai Asakura will face Tim Elliott. Elliott has a fight record of 21-13-1, stands at 5’7″, and weighs in at 125 lbs. Asakura, vying for victory with a record of 21-5-0, measures 5’8″ and also weighs 125 lbs. Elliott, a southpaw, successfully defends 59% of takedown attempts against him while completing 47% of his takedown attempts. Asakura finishes only 10% of his takedowns but defends against 57% of takedown attempts made against him. In effect, Elliott absorbs 2.66 strikes per minute while landing 3.39 strikes, while Asakura takes 4.52 strikes per minute and lands 2.40.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Carlos Prates (-250)
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