Matchup: Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
Betting Odds: Houston (-145) Atlanta (+125)
The Houston Astros (79-68) are set to travel to Truist Park on Sunday for a matchup against the Atlanta Braves (65-81). Current betting odds favor the Astros at -145, while the Braves open at +125. The total runs for the game are set at 8.5, with Framber Valdez and Joey Wentz taking the mound as starting pitchers.
The Astros have achieved 226 doubles and have dispatched 162 home runs so far this season. With a slugging percentage of .399, they have struck out 1,169 times while also drawing 434 walks. Collectively, the Houston Astros score an average of 4.2 runs per game, placing them 25th across the league. They have accumulated 587 RBIs and 1,254 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .252. With a total of 615 runs, they have an on-base percentage of .317.
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The Astros’ K/BB ratio stands at 3.01, and their pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.22. This season, Astros pitchers have permitted 177 home runs and a total of 602 runs (8th best in MLB). They have allowed 1,136 hits, averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings, with 560 earned runs registered. The team’s earned run average (ERA) is 3.84, ranking them 8th in the league, while they have struck out 1,387 opposing batters. Their overall FIP is 3.97.
When facing opponents with runners on base, Astros pitchers have taken the mound 117 times and have been in high-pressure situations 161 times this season. The bullpen has made 84 holds, ranking 12th in MLB. The Astros boast a save percentage of 71.9%, entering 144 save opportunities and converting 41 saves, failing on 16 of 57 chances. Relievers have inherited 160 runners this season, with 23.1% scoring against them. A total of 468 relief pitchers have been utilized to date.
The Detroit Tigers have recorded 3,933 putouts, complemented by 1,156 assists and 64 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .988, placing them 8th in the majors. The Astros have converted 70.7% of balls put into play into outs over 11,799 innings played, ranking them 8th in professional baseball.
Framber Valdez has pitched 1,064 innings in his career, accumulating 1,037 strikeouts with an 80-50 record. Valdez carries a FIP of 3.27, facing 4,406 batters throughout his career. His earned run average is 3.32, having allowed 393 earned runs, along with a WHIP of 1.195. He has given up 893 hits, averaging 7.6 hits per 9 innings, with a total of 379 walks.
The Atlanta Braves have homered 162 times this season while racking up 612 RBIs, with 220 doubles and 508 walks contributing to a total of 633 runs. The Braves possess an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .242. Their slugging percentage is .391, averaging 4.34 runs per game (17th in the league). They have been struck out 1,254 times (11th in the league) and have accumulated 1,202 hits this year.
On the pitching front, the Braves have surrendered 672 runs, maintaining a team ERA of 4.42 (635 earned runs). They have allowed 179 home runs, with a concession of 4.68 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The team’s WHIP is 1.312, and their FIP stands at 4.27. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (1,260 strikeouts against 487 walks), ranking them 15th for total hits allowed with 1,209.
Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game in 49 save opportunities, achieving 29 saves and holding a save rate of 59.2%, which ranks 23rd in MLB. A total of 470 bullpen pitchers have been utilized this season, with 156 for high-stakes situations and 149 times with runners on base. Their inherited score percentage sits at 39.5% out of 200 inherited runners. The Braves have also completed 96 double plays, achieving a .990 fielding rate (2nd in professional baseball) with 1,237 assists, 52 errors, and 3,879 putouts this season. In 11,637 innings, their defensive efficiency rate is 69.9% (15th in professional baseball).
Throughout his time in the league, Wentz has permitted 310 hits and has recorded 275 strikeouts over 290 innings pitched. With an 11-23 career record, his earned run average stands at 5.58, allowing 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has accumulated 180 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.520 and a FIP of 5.5. His K/BB ratio is at 2.10, having faced 1,310 batters during his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash, covering the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Selection: Opt for Houston (-145)
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