Matchup: Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Houston (-122) Baltimore (+102)
Taking place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, the Baltimore Orioles (59-68) will challenge the Houston Astros (70-58) this Sunday. The moneyline favors Houston at -122 while Baltimore is positioned at +102. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8.5 runs. Anticipated starters include Spencer Arrighetti and Trevor Rogers.
The Astros have recorded 194 doubles and hit 139 home runs as a team. Houston boasts a slugging percentage of .399 and has faced 1,012 strikeouts, while accumulating 372 walks. As a unit, the Houston Astros average 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in Major League Baseball. With 516 RBIs and 1,098 hits, they maintain a batting average of .253 and have scored a total of 539 runs, leading to an on-base percentage of .318.
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This season, the Astros hold a team ERA of 3.87, ranking 13th in MLB, and they have struck out 1,201 batters. Astros pitching has permitted 152 home runs and 523 total runs (7th in the league). They have issued 394 walks, and their FIP currently stands at 3.92. Houston has allowed 996 hits (averaging 7.9 per 9 innings) with 491 earned runs to date. The team has a K/BB ratio of 3.05 and a collective WHIP of 1.22.
On the campaign, the Astros have utilized 404 relief pitchers, inheriting 129 baserunners, with 27.1% scoring. They have secured 36 saves this season, compromising 13 out of 49 save chances. The Astros’ bullpen maintains a 73.5% save success rate and has been called into action 124 times for save situations. This season, they have compiled 73 holds, ranking 12th in MLB. Relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 96 times and in high-leverage situations 128 times.
The Astros’ defense has converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs over 10,266 innings, placing them 10th in the majors. So far this season, the Detroit Tigers have secured 3,422 putouts, recorded 1,012 assists, and committed 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .988, ranking 7th in professional baseball, with 85 double plays completed.
Arrighetti (8-17 career record) has a FIP of 4.80 after facing 741 batters in the majors. He has allowed 162 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and issued 80 walks. His ERA stands at 4.87, with 91 ER’s granted and a WHIP of 1.440. Over 168 innings pitched, Arrighetti has tallied 192 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Baltimore Orioles have achieved a team OBP of .305 and a batting average of .240 this season. They have been called out on strikes 1,096 times (13th in MLB) and accumulated a total of 1,024 hits. On the season, Baltimore has recorded 152 home runs along with 518 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .403, and they average 4.32 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have successfully hit 205 doubles and have walked 353 times, scoring 549 runs overall.
As a pitching staff, the Orioles hold a WHIP of 1.380 and a FIP of 4.43 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40 (1,041 strikeouts versus 413 walks). Currently, they rank 28th in the league for total hits allowed with 1,134. The Orioles’ pitchers allow 4.96 runs per nine innings (26th in the league) and have surrendered 618 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.66.
Having experienced 137 save opportunities, the Orioles have recorded 86 holds and faced 17 blown saves. They have called on their bullpen 47 times in save situations, achieving 30 saves. Baltimore’s relievers have pitched in 132 high-leverage situations and appeared 126 times with runners on base. They maintain a 23.4% inherited scoring rate from 167 inherited runners. The team ranks 12th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.8%, having dispatched 429 relievers this season.
The Baltimore Orioles have executed 90 double plays and possess a .986 fielding percentage (19th in the majors). They have accrued 1,121 assists, committed 65 errors, and achieved 3,363 putouts throughout the current season. Over 10,089 innings played, their defensive efficiency sits at 68.4% (28th in the majors).
In his MLB tenure, Rogers has allowed 456 hits while accumulating 485 strikeouts across 486 innings pitched. Rogers (21-36 career record) possesses a 3.91 ERA, yielding 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 211 earned runs, leading to a WHIP of 1.312 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.66 as he has faced 2,085 opposing hitters throughout his MLB career.
Which team will secure victory in today’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Choose Houston (-122)
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