Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Preview, 8/23/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Preview, 8/23/2025 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Matchup: Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Broadcast: MASN

Betting Odds: Houston (-145) Baltimore (+125)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards will host an exciting clash as the Baltimore Orioles (59-67) aim to outplay the Houston Astros (69-58) this Saturday. The odds for this matchup position the Astros at -145, while the Orioles come in at +125. The over/under is established at 9 runs, with Cristian Javier and Dean Kremer set to be the starting pitchers.

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The Houston Astros boast a slugging percentage of .401, with 988 strikeouts and 364 walks this season. They’ve amassed a total of 507 RBIs from 1,077 hits, resulting in a batting average of .254. The team has recorded 190 doubles and hit 136 home runs, scoring a total of 530 runs and achieving a .319 on-base percentage. On average, the Astros generate 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 21st in Major League Baseball.

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Houston’s pitching staff is showcasing a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.22. They have allowed 151 home runs and given up a total of 513 runs (ranking 8th in the league). The Astros have surrendered 975 hits (7.9 per 9 innings), with 482 of those resulting in earned runs. Their earned run average stands at 3.89, placing them 13th overall in MLB, while the staff has struck out 1,180 batters. They have also walked 381 hitters, with a FIP of 3.93 this season.

The Astros’ bullpen has relievers entering with runners on base 94 times and have made 124 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen currently has 73 holds (12th in the league) and a save percentage of 73.5%, having converted 36 out of 49 save opportunities while inheriting 126 runners throughout the season—of which 27% have scored. A total of 394 relievers have taken the mound for the Astros this year.

Defensively, the Astros have transformed 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs over 10,026 innings, ranking 11th in MLB. Their fielding stats include 3,342 putouts, 977 assists, and 50 errors, resulting in a solid fielding percentage of .989, placing them 6th in the league with 81 double plays completed.

Cristian Javier, with a career record of 34-19, has a FIP of 3.54 and has faced 2,092 batters in the major leagues, giving up 371 hits (averaging 6.6 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 206 free passes. He maintains an earned run average of 3.59, allowing 203 earned runs, with a career WHIP of 1.134. He has pitched 509 innings and recorded 571 strikeouts during his MLB tenure.

The Baltimore Orioles have a slugging percentage of .405 and average 4.34 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in MLB. The team has achieved 202 doubles, received 343 walks, and scored 543 runs to date. Baltimore has hit 151 home runs and tallied 513 RBIs, while striking out 1,077 times (10th in MLB) with a total of 1,009 hits. Their on-base percentage is recorded at .306, with a team batting average of .241.

Baltimore’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.379 and a FIP of 4.41. They possess a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (1,031 strikeouts against 404 walks), ranking 28th in total hits allowed, with 1,114. The Orioles have surrendered 166 home runs and an average of 4.97 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league), leading to a total of 608 runs allowed this season, with an ERA of 4.68 (572 earned runs).

The Orioles’ bullpen has been utilized in 45 save opportunities, successfully converting 29 for a save rate of 64.4%, positioning them 11th in the league. They have used 420 relief pitchers this season, with 127 high-leverage situations and 123 occasions with base runners. The inherited score percentage stands at 23.8% out of 164 inherited runners. Baltimore has executed 89 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in professional baseball). The team has achieved 1,092 assists, recorded 62 errors, and completed 3,303 putouts this year. Their defensive efficiency is at 68.3% over 9,909 innings, ranking 28th in MLB.

In his MLB career, Dean Kremer has allowed 624 hits and recorded 559 strikeouts over 647 innings pitched. Kremer, with a career record of 39-39, boasts a 4.21 ERA and allows 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 303 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.61 after facing 2,733 batters throughout his professional career.

Who will claim victory in this thrilling MLB matchup, competing against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Houston (-145)

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