Matchup: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Lines: Houston (-160) Boston (+132)
The Houston Astros (62-47) are set to face off against the Boston Red Sox (59-51) this Sunday at Fenway Park. The odds favor the Astros at -160, while the Red Sox come in at +132. The game’s total is projected at 8.5 runs, with Framber Valdez and Dustin May slated as the starting pitchers.
Currently, the Houston Astros are averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 16th in Major League Baseball. They have amassed a total of 473 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .322. The team has recorded 164 doubles and launched 120 home runs this season. Houston has 451 RBIs along with 946 hits, achieving a batting average of .257. Their slugging percentage stands at .405, with 858 strikeouts and 316 walks.
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Houston’s pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.25 and a cumulative WHIP of 1.19. This season, Astros pitchers have allowed 126 home runs and 424 total runs, ranking them 6th in MLB. They have conceded 830 hits (averaging 7.7 hits per 9 innings) and 398 earned runs, resulting in an impressive team ERA of 3.69, placing them 8th in league standings. The Astros have racked up 1,057 strikeouts while allowing 325 walks, with a FIP of 3.74 for the season.
Throughout the current season, the Astros have used 338 relief pitchers, with the bullpen inheriting 104 runners; 26.9% of those runners have scored. The bullpen has recorded 34 saves out of 46 opportunities, giving them a save percentage of 73.9%. With 115 save situations, the Astros’ relievers have garnered 68 holds (ranking 9th in MLB). This year, they’ve faced opponents with runners on base 75 times and have made 109 appearances in high-pressure situations.
The Detroit Tigers have made 2,913 putouts, 850 assists, and 46 errors this season, recording a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in MLB) with 69 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs over their 8,739 innings, positioning them at 11th in the league.
Valdez has pitched 1,022 innings in his career, achieving 1,007 strikeouts and holding an earned run average of 3.21 (allowing 365 earned runs). He holds a WHIP of 1.185, having surrendered 846 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) alongside 365 walks. Valdez, with a career record of 79-45, has faced 4,223 batters, maintaining a FIP of 3.17.
This season, the Boston Red Sox have hit 137 home runs and recorded 523 RBIs, accompanied by 226 doubles. They have drawn 353 walks and scored 545 total runs. The Red Sox maintain an on-base percentage of .323 and a batting average of .253, with a team slugging percentage of .432. Averaging 4.95 runs per game (4th in MLB), they have struck out 995 times (3rd in MLB) and accumulated 959 hits.
The Red Sox’s pitching staff registers a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 3.97 so far this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40, with 916 strikeouts versus 364 walks. Ranking 22nd in total hits allowed, they have given up 915 hits and 112 home runs while allowing 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Boston staff has permitted 477 runs this year, yielding a 3.76 ERA (412 earned runs allowed).
Boston’s bullpen has been called upon 52 times for save opportunities, securing 30 saves. Their save rate is 57.7%, ranking 24th in MLB, and they have used 359 relievers this year. The relief pitchers have entered the game in high-pressure situations 139 times and 111 times with runners on base. Out of 146 inherited base runners, Boston relievers have allowed 32.9% to score. With 115 save situations, they’ve recorded 61 holds and 22 blown saves.
The Boston Red Sox have completed 91 double plays, registering a .979 fielding percentage (29th in MLB). They have recorded 1,009 assists, 84 errors, and 2,955 total putouts this season. Over 8,865 innings of play, their defensive efficiency stands at 68.8% (25th in professional baseball).
In his career, May has allowed 241 hits and accumulated 271 strikeouts over 295 innings pitched. He has given up 122 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.70. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.71, having faced 1,223 batters during his time in the league. May holds an 18-16 career record with a 3.72 ERA, allowing 7.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Houston (-160)
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